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Date: 16 April 2010
Author: Helen Henton
Region: Global Overview
Categories: Commodities
...to edge higher in H2 on steady demand recovery and USD weakness • OPEC’s spare capacity and willingness to act will likely cap the upside...
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Date: 14 August 2009
Author: Helen Henton
Region: China
Categories: Commodities
...market demand recovery should support higher prices from Q4, as long as OPEC supply remains under control • We retain our forecasts for WTI of USD...
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Date: 3 April 2009
Author: Victor Lopes
Region: Africa
Categories: Economics
...unprecedented boom, the economy will be hit by the commodity bust and OPEC output cuts We expect negative overall GDP growth in 2009, but see...
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Date: 9 September 2010
Author: Helen Henton, Priya Balchandani, Raymond Chan
Region: Global Overview
Categories: Commodities
...rally on macro sentiment, supported by better-than-expected US weekly data • OPEC monthly report emphasises uncertainty over macro outlook • Singapore gasoil cracks weaken as...
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Date: 7 September 2009
Author: Abah Ofon, Dan Smith, David Barclay, Helen Henton
Region: Global Overview
Categories: Commodities
...oil expected to remain rangebound in Q3 before moving higher in Q4 • OPEC likely to leave output targets unchanged on 9 September
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Date: 4 March 2009
Author: Abah Ofon, Dan Smith, David Barclay, Helen Henton
Region: Global Overview
Categories: Commodities
...Gold’s rally stalls, but we remain bullish longer term Crude oil: OPEC likely to take its cue from observed inventories
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Date: 14 January 2009
Author: Abah Ofon, Dan Smith, David Barclay, Helen Henton
Region: Global Overview
Categories: Commodities
...Crude oil: Energy prices have underperformed the rest of the commodity complex – OPEC compliance is key to a recovery • Gold: We retain our bullish outlook...
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Date: 11 September 2008
Author: Brian Verlaan, Danny Suwanapruti, Delphine Arrighi, Edward Lee Wee Kok
Region: India, South East Asia, China, Africa, North East Asia
Categories: Fixed Income
...and global oil prices remaining soft. Indeed, oil market players shrugged off OPEC's decision to revert back to Sep-07 production allocation totalling 28...
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Date: 15 March 2010
Author: Anubhuti Sahay, David Mann, David Semmens, Edward Lee Wee Kok
Region: Global Overview
Categories: Fixed Income, Commodities
EM debt funds received the highest weekly inflows since EPFR started publishing data
• All AXJ equity markets saw foreign net inflows in the latest week, led by Taiwan and India
• IMM data shows an aggregate reduction in USD longs due to the improvement in risk appetite
• Premier Wen Jiabao warns other countries not to pressure China on its FX policy
• India industrial production numbers reiterate robust rebound in industrial sector
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Date: 13 May 2010
Author: Alex Sienaert, Alvin Liew, Anubhuti Sahay, Brandon Loe
Region: Global Overview
Categories: Fixed Income
Asian economic data continue to point to strong recovery, despite European debt concerns
• Indonesian Q1 GDP growth was strong; we expect more of the same from Malaysia, HK
• We expect a 25bp rate hike from Malaysia today
• BoK’s subtle change in policy statement hints at a rate hike sooner rather than later
• The political landscape appears to be improving in the Philippines