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• New Zealand – RBNZ likely to hike in Q1-2010

  Date: 21 October 2009
  Author: Simon Wong
  Region: South East Asia
  Categories: Economics
  

  ...RBNZ faces a policy dilemma following the surprise hike by the RBA and...

• New Zealand – RBNZ to pause in September

  Date: 29 July 2010
  Author: Simon Wong
  Region: South East Asia
  Categories: Economics
  

  ...RBNZ now expects ‘more moderate’ future OCR increases • We now expect the central...

• New Zealand – A hawkish cut

  Date: 30 April 2009
  Author: Simon Wong
  Region: South East Asia
  Categories: Economics
  

  We now see the policy rate bottoming at 2.5%, despite RBNZ’s dovish statement Both monetary and fiscal policies have reached their limits...

• Australia / New Zealand – Shock therapy

  Date: 9 October 2008
  Author: Simon Wong
  Region: South East Asia
  Categories: Economics
  

  Surprise 100bps RBA cut reflects increasing urgency to contain financial distress; RBNZ could follow suit We revise our interest rate forecasts and now see...

• Australia/New Zealand – Pausing in Q1

  Date: 2 February 2010
  Author: Simon Wong, Vincent Tsui
  Region: South East Asia
  Categories: Economics
  

  ...China’s recent tightening • Today’s move also reduces pressure on the RBNZ to take near-term action • We now expect both central banks to...

• Jobless recovery in Asia?

  Date: 29 April 2010
  Author: Alvin Liew, Brandon Loe, Danny Suwanapruti, David Semmens
  Region: Global Overview
  Categories: Fixed Income
  

  ...growth • Brazil hiked interest rates to 9.50% from 8.75% previously, RBNZ kept interest rates on hold

• FX strategy notes

  Date: 10 March 2010
  Author: Alex Sienaert, Callum Henderson, Danny Suwanapruti, David Semmens
  Region: Global Overview
  Categories: Fixed Income
  

  ...Trading Portfolio: We are short USD-INR, USD-PHP and NZD-CAD • RBNZ, BoK and BoT all expected to hold rates unchanged

• Sell NZD-CAD

  Date: 4 March 2010
  Author: Callum Henderson
  Region: Americas, South East Asia
  Categories: Foreign Exchange
  

  ...6871 targeted • NZ data has been quite disappointing and we expect the RBNZ to stay on hold near-term • The Canadian economy is recovering strongly...

• Speedier China growth

  Date: 19 January 2010
  Author: Brandon Loe, Edward Lee Wee Kok, Frances Cheung, Jinny Yan
  Region: Global Overview
  Categories: Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange
  

  ...Q4 GDP growth to accelerate to 11%, with more emphasis on inflation • RBNZ to be watchful over higher inflation • Korean Fin Min reiterates caution on...

• On the Ground - New Zealand - Front-loading the easing cycle

  Date: 11 September 2008
  Author: Simon Wong
  Region: South East Asia
  Categories: Economics
  

  ...RBNZ accelerated the pace of the easing cycle by a 50-bps cut...