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  • Asia – Export DNA

    Date: 7 January 2010
    Author: Mary Nicola, Tai Hui, Thomas Harr
    Region: South East Asia, China, North East Asia
    Categories: Economics

    ...China’s exports have the greatest overlap with those of Malaysia and Thailand • Indonesia’s...

  • China – The importance of exports

    Date: 15 June 2010
    Author: Stephen Green
    Region: China
    Categories: Economics

    ...Exports to constitute some 30% of 2010 industrial-sector growth, 2ppt of nominal...

  • South Korea – Export leaders and laggards

    Date: 9 October 2009
    Author: Suktae Oh
    Region: North East Asia
    Categories: Economics

    ...Exports, the main economic driver this year, have resumed y/y volume growth...

  • South Korea – Exports continue to lead growth

    Date: 3 May 2010
    Author: Suktae Oh
    Region: North East Asia
    Categories: Economics

    ...March activity data continued to show a strong recovery, led by exports • Still-strong exports caused the trade surplus to rise in April • Headline...

  • China – Exports and the cliff

    Date: 31 October 2008
    Author: Li Wei, Stephen Green
    Region: China
    Categories: Economics

    Export and import growth continues to slow China PMI export orders below neutral...

  • South Korea – Activity slows in August, exports surge in September

    Date: 1 October 2009
    Author: Suktae Oh
    Region: North East Asia
    Categories: Economics

    ...August, supporting the consensus view of slower GDP growth in H2 • But exports and the trade surplus surged in September, which suggests that growth momentum...

  • Can Asian exports recovery last

    Date: 1 July 2010
    Author: Alvin Liew, Anubhuti Sahay, David Semmens, Eric Sugandi
    Region: Global Overview
    Categories: Fixed Income

    An excellent export performance for Asia in H1, but the H2 outlook is increasingly uncertain...

  • Thailand – Exports save growth from political unrest

    Date: 5 July 2010
    Author: Usara Wilaipich
    Region: South East Asia
    Categories: Economics

    Data shows limited immediate economic cost from political unrest • We revise up our 2010 GDP growth forecast to 4.1% to reflect this • Our forecast remains below government forecasts and market consensus • We still have questions about the pace of government spending on infrastructure projects

  • Asian export recovery will be a slow grind

    Date: 16 October 2009
    Author: Alvin Liew, Brandon Loe, Callum Henderson, Danny Suwanapruti
    Region: South East Asia, China, India, North East Asia, Middle East & North Africa, Europe, Africa
    Categories: Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange

    ...Asian exports are starting to recover, but investment sentiment remains cautious • We stay bullish...

  • Euro area – Fiscal squeeze, export boost

    Date: 26 May 2010
    Author: Samra Al-Harthy, Sarah Hewin
    Region: Europe
    Categories: Economics

    • Some euro-area countries face a sharp fiscal squeeze – but they are in the minority • Low real interest rates and a more competitive euro should benefit the core group of countries • We expect the ECB to stay on hold until Q2-2011 and have lowered our 2011 growth forecast

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