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  • Asia data previews – 27 Feb – 6 Mar 2015 - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    • We expect the RBA and BNM to keep policy rates on hold; RBA may be a close call • Indonesia, Thailand, South Korea and the Philippines to release inflation data, with differing expectations • We see still-weak export growth in South Korea and Ma...

  • Global Research: Top Weekly Reads – 20 – 26 February 2015 - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    The following reports received the most reads from external clients, as per anonymous readership data, for the period from 20 to 26 February 2015. They are listed in descending order of most reads: CDI new issue - Moderate spread compression likely...

  • Nigeria – February BSI hits a series low - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    February BSI falls to a series low of 57.9 from 58.8 in January • Near-term political uncertainty and softer oil prices continue to weigh on the indicator • Falls in production and supplier delivery times indicate a slowdown in activity...

  • Kenya – February BSI: Losing momentum - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    Kenya’s BSI continued its correction in February • February BSI fell to a series low of 47.0, from 58.5 in January • Three-month BSI average is still above 50, indicating expansion...

  • China – SME index distorted by holiday effect - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    The SME index fell modestly to 55.6 in February from 56.6 in January; expectations index improved Real activity weakened during the Lunar New Year holiday; job market deteriorated further Credit availability remains tight for SMEs; financing costs...

  • 27-Feb – India – Narrower deficit, higher investment - Updated Thu February 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – Manufacturing weighed down by Lunar New Year period • South Korea – Lower trade figures owing to Lunar New Year holiday • Euro area – February CPI likely to move further into negative territory • Market focus • We ...

  • Hits and misses of the Indian budget - Updated Thu February 26, 2015

    • India will present the Union Budget on February 28. To analyse the budget and its market impact, we will hold two conference calls on Monday 02 March (05:00 GMT/10:30 AM Mumbai time and 14:00 GMT/09:00 AM New York time) with: Session 1: • Sami...

  • Asia – What Asian clients think - Updated Thu February 26, 2015

    • We bring together the results of all our client surveys in Q1-2015 on growth, risks and FX views • Vietnam has the largest share of optimists on growth, while Malaysia has the most pessimists • Asian clients are more bearish on their currencies ...

  • 25-Feb – CNY’s sheepish start to the Year of the Goat - Updated Tue February 24, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – January exports probably stayed soft • Kenya – CBK expected to keep rates on hold, despite deflation • Japan – Key January data to show recovery; inflation likely slowed • Market focus • China’s onshore FX marke...

  • Sri Lanka – No surprises from the CBSL - Updated Tue February 24, 2015

    • The CBSL maintains the status quo on policy rates at its February meeting • While January inflation of 3.2% y/y was higher than our estimates, we expect inflation to remain benign • Private credit growth improved for the sixth straight month to ...



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27-Feb – India – Narrower deficit, higher...

Top 3 data/events • China – Manufacturing weighed down by Lunar New Year period • South Korea – Lower trade figures owing to Lunar New Year holiday • Euro area – February CPI likely to move further into negative territory • Market focus • We expect the government to adhere to the...

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