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  • 01-Apr – US – The payroll/GDP debate - Updated Tue March 31, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – We expect the PMI to have remained weak • Turkey – Headline CPI likely eased in March • FX – Our forecasts for 2015 and 2016 • Market focus • We look for a moderation in payroll growth: our forecast is 230,000 ...

  • Nigeria – March BSI rises to 61.0 from series-low - Updated Tue March 31, 2015

    Nigeria’s March BSI increases to 61.0 from a series-low of 57.9 in February • Output and orders rise to their highest levels since December 2014 • FX availability may yet emerge as a constraint on business sentiment...

  • Kenya – March BSI: Positive expectations - Updated Tue March 31, 2015

    Kenya’s BSI rebounds strongly in March to 60.6 from 47.0 in February • Sentiment is more positive across the board – 12 of the 15 current conditions indicators rose in March • Kenyan demand is accelerating; both production and new orders rise str...

  • 31-Mar – BoJ’s Tankan likely to show a mixed picture - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • UK – We expect the manufacturing PMI to have improved further • South Korea – CPI inflation was likely low; trade surplus likely increased • China – Manufacturing sector likely remained sluggish in March • Market focus • Bo...

  • Euro area – If Greece leaves, can Portugal stay? - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    Glacial progress on reform and rising deposit flight raise the risk of Greece leaving the euro • Current ultra-low yields are not pricing in any contagion risk, but Grexit would challenge this view • We look at risks for Portugal, which would mov...

  • Philippines – What our clients think - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    Our clients are optimistic – 78% expect better or similar growth prospects versus last year • They expect BSP to keep policy rates unchanged, versus our call of a rate hike in Q4-2015 • Only 13% expect a stronger PHP versus the USD (below 44.00) b...

  • China – SME confidence rebounds strongly in March - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    The SME index rebounded to 60.6 in March, the highest level since our survey started in May 2014 Real activity rebounded after the Lunar New Year; labour-market conditions improved mildly Confidence in general credit conditions has improved follow...

  • 30-Mar – Euro area is gaining momentum - Updated Sun March 29, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – IP likely dropped during the Lunar New Year holiday • Thailand – Rising tourism income may have boosted C/A surplus • US – Soft core PCE inflation to keep September hike on track • Market focus • The euro area ...

  • Global Research: Top Weekly Reads – 20 – 26 March 2015 - Updated Fri March 27, 2015

    The following reports received the most reads from external clients, as per anonymous readership data, for the period from 20 to 26 March 2015. They are listed in descending order of most reads: The Long View – Q2 – The new, new normal Global Focu...

  • Asia data previews – 27 Mar-3 Apr 2015 - Updated Fri March 27, 2015

    We expect mixed industrial production data for Japan, South Korea and Vietnam • CPI inflation in South Korea, Indonesia and Thailand likely remained low amid low global inflation • Manufacturing PMI likely improved slightly in China, stayed in con...



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01-Apr – US – The payroll/GDP debate

Top 3 data/events • Singapore – We expect the PMI to have remained weak • Turkey – Headline CPI likely eased in March • FX – Our forecasts for 2015 and 2016 • Market focus • We look for a moderation in payroll growth: our forecast is 230,000 • Wage growth remains key for the timing of...

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Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.