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  • Investor sentiment in Tokyo is optimistic - Updated Fri March 27, 2015

    Japanese investors are bullish on Japan • Local optimism is being expressed through equities, not FX • Institutional and retail positions in USD-JPY have been significantly reduced • Japanese investors and corporates continue to move capital ove...

  • 27-Mar – Investor feedback from Tokyo - Updated Thu March 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Industrial production likely dropped m/m in February • South Korea – We expect sentiment to deteriorate in April • US – Q4 to be revised up slightly; personal spending up too • Market focus • Japanese investors are ...

  • 26-Mar – US escape velocity – Not this year either - Updated Wed March 25, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Monitoring indicators index to remain in the ‘green’ zone • Japan – We expect slower inflation, rebounding retail sales in February • Brazil – The end of an era in FX intervention • Market focus • Except for payrol...

  • 25-Mar – Reading SARB signals - Updated Tue March 24, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – February export data likely distorted by Lunar New Year • Singapore – We expect IP to have contracted in January-February • Euro area – Pick-up in credit cycle likely continued in February • Market focus • We ...

  • The new, new normal - Updated Mon March 23, 2015

    You are cordially invited to join us for an exclusive conference call presentation on Wednesday 25 March 2015 at 4PM SG/HK time with: • Callum Henderson, Head, FX Research • Robert Minikin, Head, Asian FX Research • Nagaraj Kulkarni, Senior Asia...

  • 23-Mar – CBC and BSP likely to stay neutral - Updated Sun March 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Vietnam – Q1 GDP and March data likely to show steady growth • UK – CPI likely eased further in February • US – Tepid core inflation to support the Fed’s wait-and-see stance • Market focus • CBC is likely to keep policy rat...

  • Q2 – The new, new normal - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    • Overview – In a challenging market environment, macroeconomic and policy divergence – the ‘new normal’ – remains the critical foundation of our updated views and forecasts, with the US economy, USD and US rates leading the way higher. This will ev...

  • SCTF – Bearish flow signals for USD-KRW, JPY-KRW - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    G10: Custodian clients turned net buyers of USD-CAD in February Asia: SCTF Aggregate Flow Index shows that our clients turned net buyers of USD-THB Africa: SCTF Aggregate Position Index shows that our clients are short USD-ZMW, long USD-ZAR SCTF ...

  • ZAR – Near-term concerns, medium-term value - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    USD-ZAR likely to see further upside in Q2; we raise our 2015 FX forecasts, still anticipating a Q2 peak • In line with our new FX forecasts, we downgrade our short-term FX weighting on the ZAR to Neutral • We upgrade our medium-term ZAR FX weigh...

  • 20-Mar – Yellen’s stance and the SGD - Updated Thu March 19, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – IP growth likely slowed, jobless rate edged higher in February • Thailand – We expect February trade data to show a surplus • Singapore – Inflation likely fell for a fourth consecutive month • Market focus • Yellen...



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27-Mar – Investor feedback from Tokyo

Top 3 data/events • Japan – Industrial production likely dropped m/m in February • South Korea – We expect sentiment to deteriorate in April • US – Q4 to be revised up slightly; personal spending up too • Market focus • Japanese investors are bullish on Japan • Local optimism is being...

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