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  • 05-May – BNM is likely to keep rates on hold - Updated Mon May 4, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • BoJ minutes to shed light on Kiuchi’s proposal • New Zealand – Unemployment rate likely fell to 5.5% • US – Before payrolls, markets likely to listen carefully to Chair Yellen • Market focus • BNM is likely to keep the poli...

  • 28-Apr – BoT likely to keep policy rate on hold - Updated Mon April 27, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – RBNZ likely to keep the cash rate at 3.50% in April • Japan – We expect the BoJ to ease further on 30 April • Euro area – Consumer confidence likely dipped in April • Market focus • We believe the BoT will kee...

  • 27-Apr – Weak US Q1 growth may stump the Fed - Updated Sun April 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Trade balance likely improved on sluggish import growth • Japan – Retail sales probably weakened y/y in March on a high base • UK – Consumption to drive growth, investment under pressure • Market focus • We t...

  • 24-Apr – Awaiting another surprise from the BoJ - Updated Thu April 23, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Beware excessive euphoria • United States – Durable goods to show still-strong industry headwinds • Oil – US oil production set to fall heavily • Market focus • We expect the BoJ to add at least JPY10tn to the ass...

  • 10-Apr – Our call on a MAS move is a close one - Updated Thu April 9, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – March CPI likely edged up owing to unseasonal rain • China – Weak demand may have weighed on trade growth • Japan – Feb MoR likely shrank, Mar PPI inflation likely slowed • Market focus • We expect the MAS to recent...

  • 07-Apr – BoJ is likely to ease further in April - Updated Mon April 6, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – The SIGMA signal is bearish; we remain Positive on IGBs • Taiwan – Exports likely grew in March; inflation may have declined • Philippines – Export growth likely rebounded modestly in February • Market focus • Rece...

  • 31-Mar – BoJ’s Tankan likely to show a mixed picture - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • UK – We expect the manufacturing PMI to have improved further • South Korea – CPI inflation was likely low; trade surplus likely increased • China – Manufacturing sector likely remained sluggish in March • Market focus • Bo...

  • 27-Mar – Investor feedback from Tokyo - Updated Thu March 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Industrial production likely dropped m/m in February • South Korea – We expect sentiment to deteriorate in April • US – Q4 to be revised up slightly; personal spending up too • Market focus • Japanese investors are ...

  • 26-Mar – US escape velocity – Not this year either - Updated Wed March 25, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Monitoring indicators index to remain in the ‘green’ zone • Japan – We expect slower inflation, rebounding retail sales in February • Brazil – The end of an era in FX intervention • Market focus • Except for payrol...

  • 23-Mar – CBC and BSP likely to stay neutral - Updated Sun March 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Vietnam – Q1 GDP and March data likely to show steady growth • UK – CPI likely eased further in February • US – Tepid core inflation to support the Fed’s wait-and-see stance • Market focus • CBC is likely to keep policy rat...



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Trade idea

05-May – BNM is likely to keep rates on hold

Top 3 data/events • BoJ minutes to shed light on Kiuchi’s proposal • New Zealand – Unemployment rate likely fell to 5.5% • US – Before payrolls, markets likely to listen carefully to Chair Yellen • Market focus • BNM is likely to keep the policy rate on hold but increase its focus on...

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