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  • 14-May – BoK likely to keep base rate on hold - Updated Wed May 13, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – CGPI may have contracted as the sales-tax effect faded • Hong Kong – We expect downside risks to Q1 GDP growth • Latam – We expect the BCCh and BCRP to keep rates unchanged • Market focus • We expect no BoK rate cut...

  • 12-May – China’s growth was likely weak in April [Correction] - Updated Tue May 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – C/A surplus likely reached a record high in March • Euro area – We expect GDP to have been buoyant in Q1 • Ghana – Monetary policy committee likely to hold prime rate at 21% • Market focus • April growth indices were...

  • 10-Apr – Our call on a MAS move is a close one - Updated Thu April 9, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – March CPI likely edged up owing to unseasonal rain • China – Weak demand may have weighed on trade growth • Japan – Feb MoR likely shrank, Mar PPI inflation likely slowed • Market focus • We expect the MAS to recent...

  • 31-Mar – BoJ’s Tankan likely to show a mixed picture - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • UK – We expect the manufacturing PMI to have improved further • South Korea – CPI inflation was likely low; trade surplus likely increased • China – Manufacturing sector likely remained sluggish in March • Market focus • Bo...

  • 25-Feb – CNY’s sheepish start to the Year of the Goat - Updated Tue February 24, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – January exports probably stayed soft • Kenya – CBK expected to keep rates on hold, despite deflation • Japan – Key January data to show recovery; inflation likely slowed • Market focus • China’s onshore FX marke...

  • 13-Feb – Growth, inflation and the BoJ - Updated Thu February 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – SLF expansion to ease seasonal liquidity volatility • India – January trade deficit seen narrowing further on low oil imports • Philippines – Remittances to be buoyed by improving US labour market • Market focus • J...

  • 12-Jan – Big caveat for December’s US job data - Updated Sun January 11, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China − Trade performance likely remained weak in December • Japan – C/A surplus likely shrank; better Econ Survey results • UK – CPI headline inflation likely eased on lower energy prices • Market focus • US non-farm pay...

  • 18-Dec – Fed meeting – Three’s a crowd - Updated Wed December 17, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ unlikely to move at its last policy meeting of 2014 • CNH – Tight onshore liquidity to keep CNH points elevated • UK – Consumer confidence likely improved in December • Market focus • FOMC is ‘patient’ but Chair...

  • 05-Dec – US: No wage gain, no UST pain - Updated Thu December 4, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Trade surplus likely widened in November on weak imports • Japan – Q3 GDP likely to be revised up; C/A surplus likely narrowed • Mexico – Weakening MXN should keep Banxico on hold • Market focus • Our November NFP f...

  • 18-Nov – Fed: Wait a minute - Updated Mon November 17, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – CPI likely normalised in October after September’s jump • Japan – We expect the BoJ to stay put after October’s surprise • UK – Bank of England minutes likely to be dovish • Market focus • Fed minutes may be dov...



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14-May – BoK likely to keep base rate on hold

Top 3 data/events • Japan – CGPI may have contracted as the sales-tax effect faded • Hong Kong – We expect downside risks to Q1 GDP growth • Latam – We expect the BCCh and BCRP to keep rates unchanged • Market focus • We expect no BoK rate cut in May; new data may lead to easing later...

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