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  • 14-Feb – USD strength to be delayed but not reversed - Updated Thu February 13, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Consumption and investment likely boosted Q4-2013 GDP • Singapore – Exports may remain positive despite potential distortion • Thailand – Political unrest likely took its toll on Q4-2013 GDP • Market focus • The US...

  • 23-Jan – Trip notes from Japan - Updated Wed January 22, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Upside to IP expected to be muted • Vietnam – Jan inflation likely edged higher, but still controllable • US – Existing home sales were likely up slightly in December • Market focus • Japanese clients are positi...

  • 20-Dec – EM-21 reserve monitor update - Updated Thu December 19, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – USD-CNY fix rises following Fed taper • Singapore – Stable inflation and industrial production expected • Vietnam – 2013 GDP likely grew 5.3% y/y; inflation is well contained • Market focus • EM-21 reserves inc...

  • 25-Nov – Asian manufacturing continues to recover - Updated Sun November 24, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – IP growth was likely strong in October • Japan – BoJ minutes expected to show little change in policy stance • Philippines – Trade deficit likely narrowed in September • Market focus • Four Asian countries will ...

  • Local Markets Compendium 2014 - Updated Mon October 7, 2013

    To paraphrase Mark Twain, the reports of the death of EM bond markets have been greatly exaggerated. Increased global allocations to local EM bond markets have been not cyclical but primarily structural in nature, reflecting these markets’ rising ec...

  • 24-Sep – Merkel triumphs; now for the tough part - Updated Mon September 23, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Top 3 Asian rates trades post-FOMC – Thailand, India and Singapore • Taiwan – Export orders to pick up ahead of year-end sales season • Vietnam – Q3 GDP likely rose moderately • Market focus • A victorious Angela Merkel...

  • 12-Sep – Japan looks likely to hike the sales tax - Updated Wed September 11, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • India – July IIP likely to improve; August CPI print to remain elevated • Singapore – Sluggish auto sales likely dragged down July retail sales • Turkey – Monetary policy U-turn precipitates TRY’s slump • Market focus • We ...

  • 23-Aug – Drawing the line in the EM debt sell-off - Updated Thu August 22, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Industrial production likely rebounded in July • Vietnam – August CPI expected to remain on an uptrend • US – New home sales likely edged down, but uptrend seems solid • Market focus • EM bonds have seen outflow...

  • 09-Aug – BoE – It’s a knockout - Updated Thu August 8, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Q2 GDP likely to be adjusted down from initial estimates • China – July’s trade improvement might not continue • Japan – Q2 GDP data to shed more light on economic recovery in H1 • Market focus • BoE to keep Ban...

  • 16-May – An unsustainable DXY-ADXY divide - Updated Wed May 15, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Machinery orders probably increased m/m in March • Singapore – Pace of contraction in NODX was likely slower in April • US – Decelerating inflation; still-robust housing market • Market focus • USD climbs back to 20...



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In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.