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  • 27-Apr – Weak US Q1 growth may stump the Fed - Updated Sun April 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Trade balance likely improved on sluggish import growth • Japan – Retail sales probably weakened y/y in March on a high base • UK – Consumption to drive growth, investment under pressure • Market focus • We t...

  • 24-Apr – Awaiting another surprise from the BoJ - Updated Thu April 23, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Beware excessive euphoria • United States – Durable goods to show still-strong industry headwinds • Oil – US oil production set to fall heavily • Market focus • We expect the BoJ to add at least JPY10tn to the ass...

  • 23-Apr – China SOE default: A blessing in disguise - Updated Wed April 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • United States – Underlying trend in new home sales is firming up • Germany – IFO business climate likely continued to improve • Vietnam – April data likely showed steady growth • Market focus • First SOE default likely to im...

  • 17-Apr – USD-CNY forecast revisions - Updated Thu April 16, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – March export orders likely supported by rising tech demand • Malaysia – Inflation to increase from April • US – March CPI inflation data likely to support the Fed’s ‘no rush’ view • Market focus • We raise CNY fore...

  • 15-Apr – BoC likely to wait as jury is still out - Updated Tue April 14, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – Sewol ferry disaster, one year on • Australia – March unemployment rate was likely unchanged at 6.3% • Philippines – Remittance growth likely rebounded; challenges ahead • Market focus • The Bank of Canada may...

  • 14-Apr – China’s growth likely slowed further - Updated Mon April 13, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – March unemployment rate was likely subdued • Euro area – Good momentum, but the ECB will continue with QE • US – Consumers likely returned to shops in March • Market focus • China’s Q1 GDP growth may have slow...

  • 08-Apr – BoK will likely keep the base rate on hold - Updated Tue April 7, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • UK – We expect the BoE to keep the Bank Rate unchanged • Germany – Industrial production likely rose in February • US – Trilogy of Yellen-Fischer-Dudley speeches make minutes look old • Market focus • BoK will likely lower ...

  • 01-Apr – US – The payroll/GDP debate - Updated Tue March 31, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – We expect the PMI to have remained weak • Turkey – Headline CPI likely eased in March • FX – Our forecasts for 2015 and 2016 • Market focus • We look for a moderation in payroll growth: our forecast is 230,000 ...

  • 30-Mar – Euro area is gaining momentum - Updated Sun March 29, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – IP likely dropped during the Lunar New Year holiday • Thailand – Rising tourism income may have boosted C/A surplus • US – Soft core PCE inflation to keep September hike on track • Market focus • The euro area ...

  • 27-Mar – Investor feedback from Tokyo - Updated Thu March 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Industrial production likely dropped m/m in February • South Korea – We expect sentiment to deteriorate in April • US – Q4 to be revised up slightly; personal spending up too • Market focus • Japanese investors are ...



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27-Apr – Weak US Q1 growth may stump the Fed

Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Trade balance likely improved on sluggish import growth • Japan – Retail sales probably weakened y/y in March on a high base • UK – Consumption to drive growth, investment under pressure • Market focus • We think US Q1 GDP expanded only 0.5% q/q SAAR...

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Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.