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  • 05-Mar – US focus: From payrolls to pay rise - Updated Wed March 4, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Elevated TWD NEER to weigh on the TWD • South Korea – We expect a BoK rate cut in Q2-2015 • Malaysia – Exports likely slowed in January • Market focus • We see NFPs at 230,000 from 257,000 and unemployment at 5.6% ...

  • 03-Mar – China’s political meetings in focus - Updated Mon March 2, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Latest IP data to show pick-up in economic activity • Brazil – Tightening mode for now • Canada – BoC took out insurance in Jan; may wait now, then cut again • Market focus • China’s all-important annual NPC an...

  • 23-Feb – Yellen to sound less dovish than minutes - Updated Sun February 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines − Trade deficit expected due to poor export growth • Vietnam - Key February data likely distorted by Tet holiday • Turkey – We expect the CBRT to cut its benchmark rate 50bps • Market focus • We expect (relative...

  • 18-Feb – Fed minutes likely to show tightening bias - Updated Tue February 17, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Trade deficit likely widened in January • Euro area – PMIs likely to tick down • Euro area – ECB releases meeting minutes for the first time ever • Market focus • The minutes’ tone should be balanced; but the under...

  • 05-Feb – Oil prices make US payroll call slippery - Updated Wed February 4, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA’s Statement on Monetary Policy likely to be bearish • Malaysia – Weaker MYR likely supported the trade balance • China – January trade data to benefit from holiday distortion • Market focus • We predict payr...

  • 02-Feb – India: RBI likely to cut rates - Updated Sun February 1, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia − RBA likely to revert to a dovish stance, without cutting rates • South Korea − CPI inflation likely picked up moderately in January • US – ISM likely moderated on global headwinds, oil price rout • Market focus ...

  • 28-Jan – ‘Patient’ Fed watches the data - Updated Tue January 27, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – RBNZ expected to keep cash rate unchanged at 3.50% • Philippines – Q4 GDP growth rebound expected after disappointing Q3 • South Africa – MPC to clarify tightening intent • Market focus • We expect little chan...

  • 27-Jan – BoT to keep rates on hold - Updated Mon January 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep policy rates unchanged • Australia – Q4-2014 inflation was likely lower at 1.8% y/y • US – Fed in ‘hibernation’; statement should repeat ‘patience’ • Market focus • We reiterate our call tha...

  • United States – Fed hibernates in January - Updated Mon January 26, 2015

    The 28 January Fed meeting is unlikely to bring surprises; statement should repeat continued “patience” • Recent low wage and soft inflation prints will likely take centre stage during internal debates • These worries are unlikely to be reflected ...

  • 21-Jan – ECB QE: Questions and answers - Updated Tue January 20, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Inflation should have stayed elevated in December • Brazil – BCB is in tightening mode • Canada – Falling oil prices to cast a dovish shadow over BoC meeting • Market focus • A sovereign QE announcement looks l...



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05-Mar – US focus: From payrolls to pay rise

Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Elevated TWD NEER to weigh on the TWD • South Korea – We expect a BoK rate cut in Q2-2015 • Malaysia – Exports likely slowed in January • Market focus • We see NFPs at 230,000 from 257,000 and unemployment at 5.6% • The Fed may remove ‘patient’ from its...

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