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  • 21-Oct – The agony and the ecstasy - Updated Mon October 20, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Inflation likely edged up q/q in Australia and New Zealand • Japan – Exports likely rebounded moderately in September • Canada – Bank of Canada to hold policy rate • Market focus • The BoE’s October meeting min...

  • 17-Oct – ‘Pain trades’ in G10 crosses - Updated Thu October 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Inflation likely remained stable in September • Singapore – Revising the stop-loss on the 5Y UST/SGS spread widener • Canada – Core inflation likely stayed high on seasonality • Market focus • We believe short-...

  • 10-Oct – China’s strong September surplus - Updated Thu October 9, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – Moderating CPI should be in line with the RBI’s target • Singapore – GDP growth to improve modestly • Canada – Record drop in private payrolls likely reversed in September • Market focus • Export growth adds to reco...

  • 25-Sep – Implications of Indonesia’s fuel-price hike - Updated Wed September 24, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – IP growth likely remained lacklustre in August • Japan – Core inflation probably stayed within the BoJ’s comfort zone • US – Durable goods orders likely plunged on aircraft orders reversal • Market focus • Mark...

  • 23-Sep – Revisiting our African FX forecasts - Updated Mon September 22, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Vietnam – Inflation likely slowed further in September • Germany – We expect September IFO to show a slight improvement • US – August new-home sales likely improved modestly • Market focus • Idiosyncratic and external fact...

  • 05-Sep – The ECB, non-farm payrolls and Asia FX - Updated Thu September 4, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Trade balance likely remained in surplus • Japan – Q2 GDP probably will be revised lower; July C/A likely turned positive • Canada – Job growth likely slowed in August on reduced part-time jobs • Market focus • EC...

  • 03-Sep – ECB keeping alive QE hopes; BoE on hold - Updated Tue September 2, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – SIGMA signal is bullish for duration in September • Japan – BoJ is unlikely to act after July’s soft patch • Canada – Bank of Canada expected to be on hold, with an upbeat tone • Market focus • The ECB is likely to ...

  • 01-Sep – BoJ unlikely to act after July’s soft patch - Updated Sun August 31, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to reiterate a ‘period of stability in interest rates’ • Singapore – PMI likely to point to positive manufacturing growth ahead • US – ISM manufacturing PMI likely little changed; upside risk • Market...

  • 29-Aug – INR: The RBI steps back? - Updated Thu August 28, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Manufacturing recovery remains weak • South Korea – Slowing exports, benign inflation • US – Personal spending and income growth likely slowed in July • Market focus • RBI may be diluting its resistance to modest ...

  • 18-Aug – Waiting for Jackson Hole [Correction] - Updated Mon August 18, 2014

    This supersedes the version dated 18 August 2014. Amends title of China item. • Top 3 data/events • China – Balanced supply and demand of FX onshore in July • UK – CPI inflation likely remained at 1.9% in July • US – We expect a moderate reco...



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