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  • 18-Dec – Risks to our FX calls - Updated Tue December 17, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – Q3-2013 GDP likely showed a rebound from the drought • Taiwan – Export orders to show improving demand into 2014 • United States – We expect a dovish Fed to keep QE at USD 85bn/month • Market focus • We remai...

  • 17-Dec – India – RBI to focus on managing inflation - Updated Mon December 16, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – November’s trade balance likely remained in deficit • Malaysia – Inflation may have increased very slightly in November • US – CPI likely tame; homebuilders’ confidence probably rose • Market focus • Uncomfortably ...

  • 12-Dec – China’s on/offshore liquidity contrast - Updated Wed December 11, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Retail sales likely contracted at a slower pace in October • US – Robust auto sales likely boosted holiday retail sales • Latam – A busy day across the region on Thursday • Market focus • Central Economic Work ...

  • 06-Dec – India’s state election signal - Updated Thu December 5, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – November macro data to be in focus next week • Japan – October current account likely remained in surplus • United States – The Fed will likely take a holistic view of Friday’s data • Market focus • Indian state el...

  • 26-Nov – Adjusting our USD-AXJ forecasts - Updated Mon November 25, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Leading index expected to show economic momentum • Thailand – BoT likely to keep policy rate on hold • US – Housing recovery likely slowed in last two months • Market focus • We are adjusting selected USD-AXJ ...

  • 21-Nov – Trip notes: European corporates - Updated Wed November 20, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Germany – Ifo trends up, but recent weaker data highlights uncertainty • Mexico – We revise our 2013 growth forecast to 1.4% from 2.3% • US – Initial jobless claims likely trended lower • Market focus • European exporters a...

  • 20-Nov – Reviewing our Asian rates trade ideas - Updated Tue November 19, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ to stay on hold at its MPC meeting • South Africa – Repo rate to remain on hold for now • United States – October FOMC minutes likely to bring no surprises • Market focus • We take profit on our receive KRW 1Y1Y...

  • United States – Hitting the snooze button - Updated Fri November 8, 2013

    We lower our 2014 growth forecast to 2.4% and core PCE inflation forecast to 1.6%, below consensus • We are changing our QE tapering call from March to June 2014; still with an initial USD 20bn reduction • We postpone our first rate-hike forecast...

  • 29-Oct – A week in Brazil - Updated Mon October 28, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – RBNZ likely to maintain its status quo • Euro area – Improvement in sentiment may seem unspectacular • US – Slower auto sales likely weighed on retail sales • Market focus • Brazilian investors were most inter...

  • 28-Oct – India: RBI – Sequencing the exit - Updated Sun October 27, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Rising retail sales and hiring indicate growing confidence • South Korea – Industrial production likely contracted in September • US – Pending homes sales likely slowed, but IP probably increased • Market focus • Hi...



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