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  • 21-Nov – Trip notes: European corporates - Updated Wed November 20, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Germany – Ifo trends up, but recent weaker data highlights uncertainty • Mexico – We revise our 2013 growth forecast to 1.4% from 2.3% • US – Initial jobless claims likely trended lower • Market focus • European exporters a...

  • 29-Oct – A week in Brazil - Updated Mon October 28, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – RBNZ likely to maintain its status quo • Euro area – Improvement in sentiment may seem unspectacular • US – Slower auto sales likely weighed on retail sales • Market focus • Brazilian investors were most inter...

  • 02 Oct – High noon on Capitol Hill - Updated Tue October 1, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Focus is back on weekly investor flows after sales tax decision • Euro area – Italy: Politics to the fore, again • US – Government shutdown affects upcoming data calendar • Market focus • The partial US government s...

  • 23-Sep – India – The RBI’s hawkish twist - Updated Sun September 22, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Germany – Business optimum persists in the run-up to the election • Nigeria – FX policy in focus at MPC meeting • US – Consumer confidence likely eroded; home prices on the rise • Market focus • Hawkish RBI is likely to inc...

  • 26-Aug – Implications of a decline in FX reserves - Updated Sun August 25, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • South Africa – Q2 GDP likely to show recovery, output gap persists • Germany – Survey data point to an ongoing recovery • US – Core durable goods orders likely picked up in July • Market focus • Reserve managers have been ...

  • 29-Jul – India – A breather between storms - Updated Sun July 28, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – IP likely continued to improve • Euro area – Improved confidence expected ahead of next ECB meeting • US – 31 July brings likely soft Q2 GDP data and the FOMC policy decision • Market focus • We expect the RBI to k...

  • 02-Jul – Reserve revelations - Updated Mon July 1, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – PMI likely remained positive in June • Euro area – Retail sales to show moderate but muted growth • US – Services sector to have kept growing; ADP data key ahead of NFP • Market focus • The IMF has revealed AUD ...

  • 26-Mar – Bailing in – A worrisome precedent - Updated Mon March 25, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Recovery appears intact, despite slowdown in leading index • Europe – Confidence under pressure • US – Headline durable goods orders rebound on transportation • Market focus • The immediate crisis in Cyprus has ea...

  • 19-Mar – Damned if they do, damned if they don't - Updated Mon March 18, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Still-muted inflation is expected • Taiwan – Export orders likely to show ongoing revival in tech demand • US – Housing construction data to confirm its upward trend • Market focus • Cyprus ‘bail-in’ unnerves e...

  • 21-Feb-13 – Mr. Abe goes to Washington - Updated Wed February 20, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Holiday distortion aside, we see upside inflation risk • Euro area – German IFO expected to confirm increasing confidence • US – January inflation probably 0.1%, home sales likely pulled back • Market focus • ...

  • 20-Feb-13 – Asian economies show resilience - Updated Tue February 19, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • North Asia – New overseas inflows to local equities • Euro area – Flash PMI readings to improve further, led by Germany • United States – Fed minutes may shed more light on timing of QE’s end • Market focus • We expect a...

  • 29-Jan-13 – Implications of a weaker yen for Asia - Updated Mon January 28, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – IP likely consolidated in December after recent strength • Euro area – Survey data likely to indicate an improving trend • United States – Q4 economic expansion likely slowed, FOMC on hold • Market focus • JP...

  • 28-Jan-13 – Only a cautious step by the RBI - Updated Sun January 27, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – High USD-TWD close indicates near-term TWD weakness • Euro area – Still-high liquidity, still-scarce credit • US – Headline durable goods orders likely gained in December • Market focus • We expect the RBI to cut t...

  • 14-Nov-12 – TWD lowered to Neutral - Updated Tue November 13, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Euro area – Q4 GDP is likely to be worse than in Q3 • UK – Retail sales likely to have deteriorated in October • US – Retail sales likely fell; FOMC minutes could shed light on QE • Market focus • We lower our short-term F...

  • 29-Aug-12 – Awe, followed by shock [CORRECTION] - Updated Tue August 28, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – We expect Q2 GDP to have been 4.7% y/y • Euro area – Deteriorating confidence • United States – Beige book to acknowledge improved data • Market focus • The prospect of Fed QE3 continues to support risk assets...



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In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.