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  • 23-Sep – Revisiting our African FX forecasts - Updated Mon September 22, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Vietnam – Inflation likely slowed further in September • Germany – We expect September IFO to show a slight improvement • US – August new-home sales likely improved modestly • Market focus • Idiosyncratic and external fact...

  • 05-Sep – The ECB, non-farm payrolls and Asia FX - Updated Thu September 4, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Trade balance likely remained in surplus • Japan – Q2 GDP probably will be revised lower; July C/A likely turned positive • Canada – Job growth likely slowed in August on reduced part-time jobs • Market focus • EC...

  • 03-Sep – ECB keeping alive QE hopes; BoE on hold - Updated Tue September 2, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – SIGMA signal is bullish for duration in September • Japan – BoJ is unlikely to act after July’s soft patch • Canada – Bank of Canada expected to be on hold, with an upbeat tone • Market focus • The ECB is likely to ...

  • 18-Aug – Waiting for Jackson Hole [Correction] - Updated Mon August 18, 2014

    This supersedes the version dated 18 August 2014. Amends title of China item. • Top 3 data/events • China – Balanced supply and demand of FX onshore in July • UK – CPI inflation likely remained at 1.9% in July • US – We expect a moderate reco...

  • 17-Jul – Thailand on a better trajectory - Updated Wed July 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Turkey – CBRT expected to cut, reluctantly • Euro area – CPI likely stayed at 0.5% • US – Housing starts likely dropped for a second consecutive month • Market focus • Economic sentiment has improved following the military ...

  • 02-Jul – Looking for insight from the ECB - Updated Tue July 1, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Foreign investors increased their MGS holdings in May • UK – PMI survey to continue to signal solid expansion • US – Material news unlikely in Yellen’s IMF speech; headline ADP to edge higher • Market focus • We ...

  • 01-Jul – The ECB’s rising importance for liquidity - Updated Mon June 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – PMI likely remained mildly positive • Australia – We forecast further weakness in retail and external trade • United States – ISM manufacturing PMI likely advanced further in June • Market focus • We updated our...

  • 21-Nov – Trip notes: European corporates - Updated Wed November 20, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Germany – Ifo trends up, but recent weaker data highlights uncertainty • Mexico – We revise our 2013 growth forecast to 1.4% from 2.3% • US – Initial jobless claims likely trended lower • Market focus • European exporters a...

  • 29-Oct – A week in Brazil - Updated Mon October 28, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – RBNZ likely to maintain its status quo • Euro area – Improvement in sentiment may seem unspectacular • US – Slower auto sales likely weighed on retail sales • Market focus • Brazilian investors were most inter...

  • 02 Oct – High noon on Capitol Hill - Updated Tue October 1, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Focus is back on weekly investor flows after sales tax decision • Euro area – Italy: Politics to the fore, again • US – Government shutdown affects upcoming data calendar • Market focus • The partial US government s...



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