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  • 01-May – TRYing to find value in carry and vol - Updated Wed April 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Stable inflation, a positive trade surplus expected • Japan – March jobless rate likely edged higher on new graduates • US – April payrolls to be more of the same: no break-out • Market focus • FX volatility re...

  • 12-Mar – Fine-tuning our G10 FX forecasts - Updated Tue March 11, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Growth likely moderated due to seasonal effects • Indonesia – BI expected to keep rates unchanged in March • Malaysia – External tailwinds likely supported IP growth in January • Market focus • We are adjusting sele...

  • 12-Feb – US: Yellen sings from Bernanke’s songbook - Updated Tue February 11, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely rose to a 4.5-year high of 5.9% • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in February • South Korea – The policy rate is likely to be kept on hold at 2.5% • Market focus • There...

  • 11-Dec – Once bitten, twice shy - Updated Tue December 10, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • India – IIP to turn negative, CPI remains sticky • Indonesia – We expect BI to hike rates at the December meeting • South Korea – BoK is likely to keep its policy rate at 2.5% • Market focus • Cumulative upside data surpris...

  • 31-Jul – For your guidance - Updated Tue July 30, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – Weakness in manufacturing PMI likely continued • South Korea – Both headline inflation and exports likely picked up • Indonesia – Month-on-month inflation likely peaked in July • Market focus • The ECB and BoE use...

  • 03-May – NFP in sight as Fed keeps all options open - Updated Thu May 2, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Improving retail sales • Indonesia – Q1 real GDP expected at 6.2% y/y • Taiwan – Core inflation likely to outpace the headline figure • Market focus • NFP data scrutinised as the Fed indicates it stands ready to...

  • 30-Apr – Waiting patiently for Mrs Watanabe - Updated Mon April 29, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – April PMI has the potential to disappoint • Indonesia – Expect moderating inflation, not deflation, in April • South Korea – Low inflation and a rebound in exports look likely • Market focus • We expect some degree ...

  • 06-Mar – BoE could ease ahead of the ECB - Updated Tue March 5, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – BNM is likely to keep the policy rate steady on 7 March • Indonesia – BI expected to keep its official rate unchanged in March • Japan – A more dovish BoJ is emerging • Market focus • The EUR is not at risky leve...



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