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  • 20-May – ECB comments to offset any PMI pick-up - Updated Tue May 19, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – SAFE data shows FX demand, but stability still favoured • Hong Kong – Inflation likely to have edged lower in April • South Africa – We see the SARB as hawkish, but on hold • Market focus • Euro-area economy is stro...

  • SDR: One small step for China, one giant leap for CNY - Updated Tue May 19, 2015

    You are cordially invited to join us for an exclusive conference call presentation on Thursday 21 May 2015 16:00 SG/HK (8:00 GMT) • Becky Liu, Senior rates Strategist • Eddie Cheung, Asia FX Strategist • Callum Henderson, Head, FX Research Topi...

  • SDR: One small step for China, one giant leap for CNY - Updated Fri May 15, 2015

    Renminbi’s SDR inclusion is only a matter of time; we now see a 60% probability this year • Renminbi broadly meets SDR criteria; capital account liberalisation to accelerate sharply in 2015 • We expect a persistent rise in global diversification i...

  • 12-May – China’s growth was likely weak in April [Correction] - Updated Tue May 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – C/A surplus likely reached a record high in March • Euro area – We expect GDP to have been buoyant in Q1 • Ghana – Monetary policy committee likely to hold prime rate at 21% • Market focus • April growth indices were...

  • China cuts policy rate by 25bps - Updated Sun May 10, 2015

    Event • The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a broad-based policy rate cut on 10 May. It cut the deposit and lending rates by 25bps and lifted the deposit-rate ceiling to 1.5x the benchmark deposit rate from 1.3x, effective on 11 May. The on...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Silver linings - Updated Thu May 7, 2015

    RGI fell in March, the first time since Oct-2012, on a weak CNY, lower deposits and less Dim Sum issuance • Since March, however, CNY has stabilised, southbound flows have risen and CNH liquidity has improved • Renminbi trade settlement remains s...

  • PRD’s pain, China and ASEAN’s gain - Updated Tue May 5, 2015

    Companies in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) – China’s leading manufacturing hub – still face plenty of challenges, according to our sixth annual survey of manufacturers in the region. A labour shortage persists, and wages are likely to rise 8.4% this y...

  • Take profit on short USD-CNH 3Mx12M trade - Updated Mon May 4, 2015

    We recommend taking profit on the short USD-CNH 3Mx12M trade • We see risk of rebound in spread near-term on firmer USD-CNH spot, news of May SDR meeting deferral • We maintain short- and medium-term Overweight FX weightings on the CNY...

  • Korea – No more cuts as signs of recovery emerge - Updated Thu April 30, 2015

    • Benefits of previous rate cuts are emerging – housing market is picking up, KOSPI is rallying, credit is increasing and policy makers are becoming less dovish • We maintain our view of no rate change this year • We maintain our Neutral outlook o...

  • Taiwan – CBC to keep rates on hold in 2015 - Updated Wed April 29, 2015

    • Data indicates continued economic recovery; strong industrial data offset weak export growth in Feb-Mar • We lower our 2015 inflation forecast to 0.4% y/y (from 0.8%) and raise our 2016 forecast to 1.8% (1.4%) • We think the CBC will keep the po...



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20-May – ECB comments to offset any PMI...

Top 3 data/events • China – SAFE data shows FX demand, but stability still favoured • Hong Kong – Inflation likely to have edged lower in April • South Africa – We see the SARB as hawkish, but on hold • Market focus • Euro-area economy is strong, but some headwinds are returning • PMIs...

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