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  • 20-May – ECB comments to offset any PMI pick-up - Updated Tue May 19, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – SAFE data shows FX demand, but stability still favoured • Hong Kong – Inflation likely to have edged lower in April • South Africa – We see the SARB as hawkish, but on hold • Market focus • Euro-area economy is stro...

  • Q2 – The new, new normal - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    • Overview – In a challenging market environment, macroeconomic and policy divergence – the ‘new normal’ – remains the critical foundation of our updated views and forecasts, with the US economy, USD and US rates leading the way higher. This will ev...

  • 20-Oct – China’s GDP growth likely slowed in Q3 - Updated Sun October 19, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – September’s inflation likely distorted by rent concession • UK – Public borrowing may have been higher in September • South Africa –Medium-term Budget in Focus • Market focus • GDP growth is expected to have mo...

  • 26-Mar – In the steady hands of the CBC - Updated Tue March 25, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Bad weather likely weighed on February data • Philippines – BSP is likely to keep policy unchanged in March • South Africa – MPC seen on hold at March meeting; risks are building • Market focus • Expect the CBC to k...

  • 18-Feb – No change in the PBoC’s policy stance - Updated Mon February 17, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – CPI inflation likely edged up further in January • UK – BoE minutes to echo Inflation Report as unemployment falls to 7% • South Africa – January CPI inflation a key focus • Market focus • Credit growth was...

  • Local Markets Compendium 2014 - Updated Mon October 7, 2013

    To paraphrase Mark Twain, the reports of the death of EM bond markets have been greatly exaggerated. Increased global allocations to local EM bond markets have been not cyclical but primarily structural in nature, reflecting these markets’ rising ec...



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20-May – ECB comments to offset any PMI...

Top 3 data/events • China – SAFE data shows FX demand, but stability still favoured • Hong Kong – Inflation likely to have edged lower in April • South Africa – We see the SARB as hawkish, but on hold • Market focus • Euro-area economy is strong, but some headwinds are returning • PMIs...

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