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  • 19-Jan – A cold December in China - Updated Sun January 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Growth concerns put downward pressure on rates • Nigeria – Monetary policy rate expected to stay on hold • Turkey – CBRT will most likely keep rates unchanged • Market focus • Growth momentum remains weak in Chin...

  • Cross-currents – Relative value in Asia [Correction] - Updated Fri January 9, 2015

    This supersedes the version dated 9 January 2015. On page 12, amends CNH forecasts. • AXJ currencies were resilient in 2014 – good for investors but not so favourable for AXJ exporters • The oil-price slide will help external imbalances, but furth...

  • 13-Nov – Paving the way for Stock Connect - Updated Wed November 12, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – GDP growth likely rebounded after a weak Q2 • Malaysia – Manufacturing production likely supported overall IP • Euro area – Q3 GDP growth likely expanded 0.1% • Market focus • The relaxation of the daily convers...

  • 06-Nov – BoJ easing reinforces relative value in AXJ - Updated Wed November 5, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Exports may have remained lacklustre versus Q2 • Korea – Taking profit on the 3Y KTB and 3Y KRW IRS • Germany – IP and exports likely rebounded in September • Market focus • BoJ easing reinforces policy divergen...

  • 14-Aug – China’s July stumble - Updated Wed August 13, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – GDP growth likely remained robust in Q2 • Taiwan – The government will likely raise its 2014 growth forecast • Hong Kong – Heeding the warning of a Q2 GDP disappointment • Market focus • IP growth moderated to 9....

  • 08-Aug – CNY strengthens amid improving growth - Updated Thu August 7, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Pension-fund reforms are likely to support USD-JPY • Singapore – We expect a slight upward revision to Q2 GDP growth • Malaysia – Industrial production likely consolidated in June • Market focus • China’s growth is ...

  • 09-Jul – BoK: On hold, awaiting more data - Updated Tue July 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Trade surplus expected to have rebounded • BNM and BI – BNM likely to hike rates; BI likely to keep them on hold • India – A budget beyond numbers • Market focus • We expect the BoK to keep the base rate at 2.50% in...

  • 20-Mar – Colombia's gain is other EMs' pain - Updated Wed March 19, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Further heavy corporate FX selling in February • Malaysia – Inflation likely to remain on an uptrend • Mexico – Our MFCI still shows tight monetary conditions • Market focus • Colombia’s weight in EM bond indices w...

  • 18-Feb – No change in the PBoC’s policy stance - Updated Mon February 17, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – CPI inflation likely edged up further in January • UK – BoE minutes to echo Inflation Report as unemployment falls to 7% • South Africa – January CPI inflation a key focus • Market focus • Credit growth was...

  • Local Markets Compendium 2014 - Updated Mon October 7, 2013

    To paraphrase Mark Twain, the reports of the death of EM bond markets have been greatly exaggerated. Increased global allocations to local EM bond markets have been not cyclical but primarily structural in nature, reflecting these markets’ rising ec...



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