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  • 09-Jan – Steady job gains, steady taper - Updated Wed January 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – November IIP likely to stay in negative territory • Philippines – Exports likely fell on a m/m basis in November • UK – Industrial production expected to maintain positive momentum • Market focus • Following robust...

  • 04-Dec – The tortoise and the hare - Updated Tue December 3, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • India – The SIGMA signal remains bearish for duration in December • Philippines – November inflation was likely higher • Taiwan – CPI inflation probably rebounded in November • Market focus • The UK’s official 2014 growth ...

  • 14-Oct – Growth is picking up in China - Updated Sun October 13, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Remittance growth remains on an uptrend • UK – Three-month fall in CPI will reassure BoE on its monetary policy • Germany – ZEW to show resilience in investor expectations • Market focus • GDP growth likely r...

  • 28-Aug – The Asian ‘reality check’ - Updated Tue August 27, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – GDP growth likely remained robust in Q2 • South Korea – Slight improvement in IP is expected • Italy – Improving sentiment despite political uncertainty • Market focus • Talk of Asia being in a 1997-98-style ...

  • 04-Jun – ECB on hold as activity claws its way back - Updated Mon June 3, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q1 GDP growth was likely below trend at 0.5% q/q • Philippines – BSP expected to keep policy rate on hold, cut SDA rate • Uganda – We close our trade amid deteriorating sentiment onshore • Market focus • Euro-a...

  • 29-May – Crunch time for the INR - Updated Tue May 28, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Strong Q1 performance likely led by domestic growth • South Korea – IP likely showed a technical rebound in April • Euro area – Surveys likely to show improving sentiment • Market focus • We forecast India’s ...

  • 13-Mar – CNY needs a better fix – not a wider band - Updated Tue March 12, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Policy rate to remain on hold for at least H1-2013 • South Korea – BoK is likely to keep the policy rate on hold • EU – Call for compromise to conclude European Semester first phase • Market focus • China’s N...

  • 09-Jan-13 – BoE and ECB keep status quo, for now - Updated Tue January 8, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Bank Indonesia to keep the BI rate unchanged • Malaysia – Domestic demand likely supported industrial production • Philippines – Asian demand expected to have lifted export growth • Market focus • The ECB is lik...

  • 12-Dec-12 – Central bank reserve monitor - Updated Tue December 11, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Overnight borrowing rate to stay on hold • EU – Summit to discuss banking union, approve Greek tranche • United States – November retail sales boosted by autos • Market focus • Reserve accumulation of our EM...

  • 04-Dec-12 – Asian inflation outlook remains benign [CORRECTION] - Updated Tue December 4, 2012

    This supersedes the version dated 04 December 2012. Amends ‘Key data/events today’ table. • Top 3 data/events • Australia – Slower growth expected in Q3 • Taiwan – Inflation to remain above the central bank’s comfort level • UK – Further belt t...



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In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.