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  • Q2 – The new, new normal - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    • Overview – In a challenging market environment, macroeconomic and policy divergence – the ‘new normal’ – remains the critical foundation of our updated views and forecasts, with the US economy, USD and US rates leading the way higher. This will ev...

  • SC FIRST – Caution over, as Fed not impatient to hike - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    Foreign investor sentiment towards emerging markets has improved after the 18 March FOMC meeting EM funds remain overweight duration and still favour Indonesia, but are returning to Malaysia EM/DM yield spread to be range-bound as foreign investor...

  • 19-Mar – India – Stay Positive on IGBs; Neutral INR - Updated Wed March 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export order growth likely declined in February • Hong Kong – Holiday data distortion likely caused the CPI jump in February • UK – Official forecasts revised • Market focus • Indian banks’ year-end profit booking ...

  • 13-Mar – BI likely to cut and signal a long pause - Updated Thu March 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Trade surplus likely increased in February • India – WPI likely moved lower in February • Philippines – Remittance growth likely slowed in January • Market focus • We expect BI to cut the BI rate and the FASBI r...

  • Thailand – BoT unexpectedly cuts policy rate - Updated Wed March 11, 2015

    Event The Bank of Thailand (BoT) cut its policy rate by 25bps to 1.75% at today’s policy meeting. This was against our expectation that it would keep the rate on hold. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 4-3 to reduce the rate and said the mo...

  • 11-Mar – India: A data-heavy week - Updated Tue March 10, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely rose again to a 13-year high • South Korea – We expect the BoK to remain on hold • Euro area – Industrial production likely registered modest growth • Market focus • February CPI likel...

  • 09-Mar – BoT to stay put on policy rate - Updated Sun March 8, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China - Weak consumer confidence suggests further deflationary pressure • Philippines - Export growth seen rebounding modestly • China – Little support for band widening near-term • Market focus • We reiterate our call that...

  • Thailand – Significant beneficiary of lower oil prices - Updated Thu March 5, 2015

    Falling global oil prices should boost growth, lower inflation, and lead to a current account surplus • However, we cut our 2015 GDP growth forecast to 5.1% to reflect delayed execution of public investment • We now expect the BoT to stay on hold ...

  • India – RBI delivers another inter-meeting rate cut - Updated Wed March 4, 2015

    Event The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) surprised by delivering another inter-meeting repo rate cut of 25bps to 7.50%. It delivered the previous rate cut in January (also an inter-meeting move), and kept rates on hold at its scheduled policy meeting ...



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19-Mar – India – Stay Positive on IGBs;...

Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export order growth likely declined in February • Hong Kong – Holiday data distortion likely caused the CPI jump in February • UK – Official forecasts revised • Market focus • Indian banks’ year-end profit booking has weakened IGBs, despite the rate...

In Media

Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.