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  • Egypt – Short-term stimulus, medium-term challenges - Updated Fri January 31, 2014

    • Interim government plans a second EGP 30bn stimulus to revive economy; FY14 GDP projected at 3.5% • USD 12bn financial aid from GCC states will support stimulus spending, strengthen FX reserves • EGX 30 has rallied 63% since the interim govern...

  • Middle East and North Africa Focus – Adjusting to reality - Updated Wed October 9, 2013

    • Hydrocarbon-based economies are using their fiscal strength to drive near-term growth and diversify their economies to reduce long-term risks. Oil importers are constrained by high domestic subsidy bills and weak investment; this is hampering econ...

  • 08-Oct – My way or the Beltway - Updated Mon October 7, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Egypt – EGP strengthens on large aid flows • Europe – Positive industrial production data in both UK and Germany • US – Small business optimism likely declined; October could be worse • Market focus • There are no signs th...

  • Local Markets Compendium 2014 - Updated Mon October 7, 2013

    To paraphrase Mark Twain, the reports of the death of EM bond markets have been greatly exaggerated. Increased global allocations to local EM bond markets have been not cyclical but primarily structural in nature, reflecting these markets’ rising ec...

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