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  • 21-Apr – CBRT – Monetary policy consternation - Updated Mon April 20, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q1 inflation was likely lower at 1.3% y/y • Singapore – Inflation likely decreased further in March • UK – BoE minutes likely to show unanimous rate decision in April • Market focus • We think the CBRT will leav...

  • 16-Mar – BoJ will likely move in April not March - Updated Sun March 15, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore - We expect modest NODX growth in January-February • Turkey – CBRT will likely keep rates unchanged • South Africa – C/A deficit to highlight ongoing vulnerability • Market focus • We expect no BoJ easing at the 16...

  • 12-Mar – TRY: The party’s over - Updated Wed March 11, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Switzerland – FX irony • Singapore – Retail sales likely remained sluggish in January • United States – Oil boost still not in the spending data • Market focus • Political interference in monetary policy has been in focus ...

  • 23-Feb – Yellen to sound less dovish than minutes - Updated Sun February 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines − Trade deficit expected due to poor export growth • Vietnam - Key February data likely distorted by Tet holiday • Turkey – We expect the CBRT to cut its benchmark rate 50bps • Market focus • We expect (relative...

  • 19-Jan – A cold December in China - Updated Sun January 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Growth concerns put downward pressure on rates • Nigeria – Monetary policy rate expected to stay on hold • Turkey – CBRT will most likely keep rates unchanged • Market focus • Growth momentum remains weak in Chin...

  • MENA – Navigating headwinds - Updated Tue December 2, 2014

    We expect lower oil prices to directly impact the GCC’s growth outlook • Recent oil-price decline is a reminder that government expenditure cannot rise indefinitely • Energy-subsidy reform should become a priority given reduced fiscal heardroom...

  • Europe – Looking for a way out - Updated Tue December 2, 2014

    Lower oil prices should help to lift growth across most European countries • We expect further ECB easing, and delayed BoE tightening • Confidence in the region remains vulnerable to politics and geopolitics...

  • 24-Sep – ECB struggling to gain traction - Updated Tue September 23, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – CBC likely to keep policy rate unchanged at 1.875% • Turkey – CBRT expected to keep rates unchanged • United States – Cleveland Fed’s Mester may have a hawkish tone • Market focus • Weak take-up of the TLTRO raises...

  • 09-Sep – The Scotland referendum: Value in vol - Updated Mon September 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – CGPI likely slowed; machinery orders likely rose again m/m • Turkey – Q2 GDP will most likely point to a slowdown • Australia – Strong job creation unlikely to dent the unemployment rate • Market focus • The market...

  • 02-Sep – Indonesia: Focus on the fundamentals - Updated Mon September 1, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q2 GDP growth was likely in line with trend, at 3.1% y/y • Euro area and UK – Composite PMIs likely to have fallen • Turkey – CPI inflation likely to continue to disappoint • Market focus • Indonesia’s inflati...



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21-Apr – CBRT – Monetary policy consternation

Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q1 inflation was likely lower at 1.3% y/y • Singapore – Inflation likely decreased further in March • UK – BoE minutes likely to show unanimous rate decision in April • Market focus • We think the CBRT will leave interest rates unchanged • Monetary...

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