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  • 19-May – Fed still looking over the rainbow - Updated Mon May 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export orders likely declined; C/A surplus at record high • UK – We expect the BoE decision remained unanimous • Turkey – CBRT will most likely keep rates unchanged • Market focus • Yellen’s speech on Friday is lik...

  • 21-Apr – CBRT – Monetary policy consternation - Updated Mon April 20, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q1 inflation was likely lower at 1.3% y/y • Singapore – Inflation likely decreased further in March • UK – BoE minutes likely to show unanimous rate decision in April • Market focus • We think the CBRT will leav...

  • 16-Mar – BoJ will likely move in April not March - Updated Sun March 15, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore - We expect modest NODX growth in January-February • Turkey – CBRT will likely keep rates unchanged • South Africa – C/A deficit to highlight ongoing vulnerability • Market focus • We expect no BoJ easing at the 16...

  • 12-Mar – TRY: The party’s over - Updated Wed March 11, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Switzerland – FX irony • Singapore – Retail sales likely remained sluggish in January • United States – Oil boost still not in the spending data • Market focus • Political interference in monetary policy has been in focus ...

  • 23-Feb – Yellen to sound less dovish than minutes - Updated Sun February 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines − Trade deficit expected due to poor export growth • Vietnam - Key February data likely distorted by Tet holiday • Turkey – We expect the CBRT to cut its benchmark rate 50bps • Market focus • We expect (relative...

  • 19-Jan – A cold December in China - Updated Sun January 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Growth concerns put downward pressure on rates • Nigeria – Monetary policy rate expected to stay on hold • Turkey – CBRT will most likely keep rates unchanged • Market focus • Growth momentum remains weak in Chin...

  • MENA – Navigating headwinds - Updated Tue December 2, 2014

    We expect lower oil prices to directly impact the GCC’s growth outlook • Recent oil-price decline is a reminder that government expenditure cannot rise indefinitely • Energy-subsidy reform should become a priority given reduced fiscal heardroom...

  • Europe – Looking for a way out - Updated Tue December 2, 2014

    Lower oil prices should help to lift growth across most European countries • We expect further ECB easing, and delayed BoE tightening • Confidence in the region remains vulnerable to politics and geopolitics...

  • 24-Sep – ECB struggling to gain traction - Updated Tue September 23, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – CBC likely to keep policy rate unchanged at 1.875% • Turkey – CBRT expected to keep rates unchanged • United States – Cleveland Fed’s Mester may have a hawkish tone • Market focus • Weak take-up of the TLTRO raises...

  • 09-Sep – The Scotland referendum: Value in vol - Updated Mon September 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – CGPI likely slowed; machinery orders likely rose again m/m • Turkey – Q2 GDP will most likely point to a slowdown • Australia – Strong job creation unlikely to dent the unemployment rate • Market focus • The market...

  • 02-Sep – Indonesia: Focus on the fundamentals - Updated Mon September 1, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q2 GDP growth was likely in line with trend, at 3.1% y/y • Euro area and UK – Composite PMIs likely to have fallen • Turkey – CPI inflation likely to continue to disappoint • Market focus • Indonesia’s inflati...

  • 17-Jul – Thailand on a better trajectory - Updated Wed July 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Turkey – CBRT expected to cut, reluctantly • Euro area – CPI likely stayed at 0.5% • US – Housing starts likely dropped for a second consecutive month • Market focus • Economic sentiment has improved following the military ...

  • 23-Jun – SCTF: Corporate clients turn bullish on AUD - Updated Sun June 22, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Export recovery likely remained slow • Germany – Strong current sentiment, but expectations are normalising • Turkey – Reluctant CBRT likely to cut rates by a further 25bps • Market focus • Short USD positionin...

  • 13-Jun – Middle East unsettles oil markets, again - Updated Thu June 12, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – May WPI likely to have stayed about flat • Philippines – Remittance growth to support current account • Euro area – Inflation set to slide further • Market focus • Iraq’s territorial and national integrity is bein...

  • 17-Mar – FOMC: Jettisoning the thresholds - Updated Sun March 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Metals – Caught between China and Ukraine • Turkey – CBRT expected to leave its policy rate on hold at 10% • Germany – Investor confidence to moderate further in March • Market focus • Fed will likely taper QE by USD 10bn,...

  • 17-Feb – Ironing out our AUD view - Updated Sun February 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA minutes likely to show comfort about the recovery • Japan – BoJ likely to maintain its pace of asset purchases • Turkey – CBRT expected to stay on hold • Market focus • We have cut our iron ore forecasts on ...

  • 28 Jan – Meanwhile, the Fed tapers - Updated Mon January 27, 2014

    Top 3 data/events Malaysia – BNM likely to keep rates on hold, remain cautious on growth • South Korea – IP likely rose modestly, despite the rail strike • Turkey – CBRT calls an emergency meeting Market focus • We do not think current market ...

  • 20-Jan – Turbulence in Turkey - Updated Sun January 19, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ likely to maintain stance at its first MPC meeting in 2014 • Australia – Inflation likely remained benign at +0.4% q/q in Q4-2013 • Germany – Upbeat ZEW investor confidence expected for H1-2014 • Market focus •...

  • 18-Nov – The Plenum delivered! - Updated Sun November 17, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA minutes to reflect its cautious view • Turkey – CBRT set to leave its policy rate on hold at 4.5% • Ghana – Pace of fiscal consolidation will be closely watched • Market focus • China rolls out biggest econo...

  • 22-Oct – Little inflation pressure in Asia - Updated Mon October 21, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Turkey – No change expected from the monetary policy committee • UK – BoE minutes likely to advocate caution • United States – September payroll data does not capture the shutdown • Market focus • We see limited inflation ...



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19-May – Fed still looking over the rainbow

Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export orders likely declined; C/A surplus at record high • UK – We expect the BoE decision remained unanimous • Turkey – CBRT will most likely keep rates unchanged • Market focus • Yellen’s speech on Friday is likely to take precedence over the FOMC meeting...

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