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  • 21-Apr – CBRT – Monetary policy consternation - Updated Mon April 20, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q1 inflation was likely lower at 1.3% y/y • Singapore – Inflation likely decreased further in March • UK – BoE minutes likely to show unanimous rate decision in April • Market focus • We think the CBRT will leav...

  • 16-Mar – BoJ will likely move in April not March - Updated Sun March 15, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore - We expect modest NODX growth in January-February • Turkey – CBRT will likely keep rates unchanged • South Africa – C/A deficit to highlight ongoing vulnerability • Market focus • We expect no BoJ easing at the 16...

  • 12-Mar – TRY: The party’s over - Updated Wed March 11, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Switzerland – FX irony • Singapore – Retail sales likely remained sluggish in January • United States – Oil boost still not in the spending data • Market focus • Political interference in monetary policy has been in focus ...

  • 23-Feb – Yellen to sound less dovish than minutes - Updated Sun February 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines − Trade deficit expected due to poor export growth • Vietnam - Key February data likely distorted by Tet holiday • Turkey – We expect the CBRT to cut its benchmark rate 50bps • Market focus • We expect (relative...

  • 19-Jan – A cold December in China - Updated Sun January 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Growth concerns put downward pressure on rates • Nigeria – Monetary policy rate expected to stay on hold • Turkey – CBRT will most likely keep rates unchanged • Market focus • Growth momentum remains weak in Chin...

  • Turkey – Same but different - Updated Fri December 12, 2014

    • GDP growth will likely accelerate on a more favourable external environment • Conservative fiscal policy remains the strongest credit support • Conflict in Syria could jeopardise the peace process with the Kurds ...

  • Tunisia – Transition (almost) complete - Updated Fri December 12, 2014

    • Growth is ready to pick up but dim European growth outlook might be a constraint • Reform agenda is ambitious but essential • Tunisia has so far managed its democratic transition, which should boost investor confidence ...

  • Morocco – Hard work pays off - Updated Fri December 12, 2014

    • Strong focus on non-agricultural GDP will likely be the main growth driver • Morocco has had success with bold fiscal consolidation initiatives • Inclusive growth to alleviate unemployment will be crucial ...

  • Lebanon – War economy - Updated Fri December 12, 2014

    • We see a very mild growth pick-up on a benign security scenario • Fiscal consolidation is becoming urgent • Fragile environment is undermining the political process ...

  • Iraq – Fighting back - Updated Fri December 12, 2014

    • Despite turmoil Iraq should continue to grow, albeit at a slower pace • Fiscal policy is an increasingly important potential area of risk • Politics remains Iraq’s main vulnerability ...



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21-Apr – CBRT – Monetary policy consternation

Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q1 inflation was likely lower at 1.3% y/y • Singapore – Inflation likely decreased further in March • UK – BoE minutes likely to show unanimous rate decision in April • Market focus • We think the CBRT will leave interest rates unchanged • Monetary...

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Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.