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  • 21-May – BoJ likely to remain on hold in May - Updated Wed May 20, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – GST to boost full-year inflation • Germany – IFO index likely to maintain its upward momentum • Brazil – A bumpy road for fiscal adjustment, but in the right direction • Market focus • We expect the BoJ to remain...

  • 14-May – BoK likely to keep base rate on hold - Updated Wed May 13, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – CGPI may have contracted as the sales-tax effect faded • Hong Kong – We expect downside risks to Q1 GDP growth • Latam – We expect the BCCh and BCRP to keep rates unchanged • Market focus • We expect no BoK rate cut...

  • 30-Apr – Fed data-watching continues - Updated Wed April 29, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – Manufacturing sector likely still under pressure • South Korea – April trade probably softened further • Mexico – Banxico likely to hold back, awaiting the Fed’s move • Market focus • Fed statement noted recent weak...

  • 29-Apr – BCB likely to hike another 50bps - Updated Tue April 28, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – We expect IP to have contracted in March • Taiwan – Large trade surplus likely to have supported Q1 GDP growth • Euro area – CPI likely remained in negative territory • Market focus • SELIC rate will likely be...

  • 26-Mar – US escape velocity – Not this year either - Updated Wed March 25, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Monitoring indicators index to remain in the ‘green’ zone • Japan – We expect slower inflation, rebounding retail sales in February • Brazil – The end of an era in FX intervention • Market focus • Except for payrol...

  • 03-Mar – China’s political meetings in focus - Updated Mon March 2, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Latest IP data to show pick-up in economic activity • Brazil – Tightening mode for now • Canada – BoC took out insurance in Jan; may wait now, then cut again • Market focus • China’s all-important annual NPC an...

  • 21-Jan – ECB QE: Questions and answers - Updated Tue January 20, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Inflation should have stayed elevated in December • Brazil – BCB is in tightening mode • Canada – Falling oil prices to cast a dovish shadow over BoC meeting • Market focus • A sovereign QE announcement looks l...

  • 15-Jan – 2015 Asian rates outlook - Updated Wed January 14, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Petrochemicals exports likely weighed on NODX in December • Chile – The BCCh will likely stay on hold • Commodities – Demand uncertainties weigh heavily on copper • Market focus • Asian local-currency bond marke...

  • 19-Dec – NGN – FX trading comes to a halt - Updated Thu December 18, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export orders to show mixed demand; job data set to improve • Euro area – Consumer confidence will likely pick up • Colombia – BanRep to hold rates unchanged at 4.5% • Market focus • CBN cuts foreign-exchange tradi...

  • 20-Nov – Latam FX: More USD pain - Updated Wed November 19, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – October inflation was likely driven by fuel-subsidy cuts • Vietnam – Inflation likely continued to trend lower in November • US – Falling oil prices add to low underlying inflation pressures • Market focus • This...



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21-May – BoJ likely to remain on hold in May

Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – GST to boost full-year inflation • Germany – IFO index likely to maintain its upward momentum • Brazil – A bumpy road for fiscal adjustment, but in the right direction • Market focus • We expect the BoJ to remain on hold on 21-22 May • Q1-2015 GDP was...

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Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.