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  • 03-Mar – China’s political meetings in focus - Updated Mon March 2, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Latest IP data to show pick-up in economic activity • Brazil – Tightening mode for now • Canada – BoC took out insurance in Jan; may wait now, then cut again • Market focus • China’s all-important annual NPC an...

  • 21-Jan – ECB QE: Questions and answers - Updated Tue January 20, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Inflation should have stayed elevated in December • Brazil – BCB is in tightening mode • Canada – Falling oil prices to cast a dovish shadow over BoC meeting • Market focus • A sovereign QE announcement looks l...

  • 15-Jan – 2015 Asian rates outlook - Updated Wed January 14, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Petrochemicals exports likely weighed on NODX in December • Chile – The BCCh will likely stay on hold • Commodities – Demand uncertainties weigh heavily on copper • Market focus • Asian local-currency bond marke...

  • 19-Dec – NGN – FX trading comes to a halt - Updated Thu December 18, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export orders to show mixed demand; job data set to improve • Euro area – Consumer confidence will likely pick up • Colombia – BanRep to hold rates unchanged at 4.5% • Market focus • CBN cuts foreign-exchange tradi...

  • 20-Nov – Latam FX: More USD pain - Updated Wed November 19, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – October inflation was likely driven by fuel-subsidy cuts • Vietnam – Inflation likely continued to trend lower in November • US – Falling oil prices add to low underlying inflation pressures • Market focus • This...

  • 29-Oct – SAR move overdone, retracement likely - Updated Tue October 28, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – Industrial production expected to pick up • RBNZ likely to extend its pause, keeping rates at 3.50% • Brazil – COPOM likely to sit tight for now • Market focus • The spike in USD-SAR activity has been on outf...

  • 28-Oct – Brazil: Dilma’s chance to change her tune - Updated Mon October 27, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Asia macro trackers – Philippines growth, current account heating up • Japan – Industrial production likely rebounded in September • US – Aircrafts orders likely to support September’s durable goods • Market focus • Dilma ...

  • 16-Oct – The Fed and the dollar - Updated Wed October 15, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – September NODX likely improved further • Chile – We expect the BCCh to deliver its final cut • US – Fed speakers send mixed signals as data weakens • Market focus • USD is now part of the FOMC internal debate o...

  • 02-Oct – Brazil: The irrepressible Dilma - Updated Wed October 1, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – New parliament members inaugurated • Japan – Q3 Tankan survey results will likely reduce pressure on BoJ • UK – We expect UK composite PMI to decrease • Market focus • First-round voting on 5 October may not pr...

  • Brazil: Presidential election preview - Updated Wed October 1, 2014

    First-round voting on 5 October may not produce a winner; a second-round vote is likely on 26 October • President Dilma has retaken the lead in recent polls and the BRL remains the regional underperformer • Marina’s inability to consolidate early ...



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03-Mar – China’s political meetings in focus

Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Latest IP data to show pick-up in economic activity • Brazil – Tightening mode for now • Canada – BoC took out insurance in Jan; may wait now, then cut again • Market focus • China’s all-important annual NPC and CPPCC meetings will start on 3 March...

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Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.