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  • Q2 – The new, new normal - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    • Overview – In a challenging market environment, macroeconomic and policy divergence – the ‘new normal’ – remains the critical foundation of our updated views and forecasts, with the US economy, USD and US rates leading the way higher. This will ev...

  • 30-May – China exports amid the BRIC malaise - Updated Thu May 29, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Growth in the manufacturing sector was likely slow in May • South Korea – May export growth likely slowed due to the holidays • FX Trading Portfolio – We raise our AUD-NZD stop-loss level • Market focus • Trade repo...

  • 29-Apr – CNY: Assessing 2012 risks - Updated Mon April 28, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events 28 April 2014 • Japan – BoJ likely to stay put; industrial production likely rebounded • South Korea – IP backed by strong exports • Euro area – Rise in April CPI may alleviate policy-action pressure • Market focus • Ch...

  • 23-Apr – Solid Korean growth and the KRW puzzle - Updated Tue April 22, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – RBNZ will likely hike the cash rate again, to 3.00% • Germany – IFO to show firm fundamentals dampened by shaky outlook • US – Markit PMI survey may show ongoing manufacturing expansion • Market focus ...

  • Australia – RBA likely to cut again in June - Updated Wed May 29, 2013

    The RBA is likely to ease monetary policy further; we expect a 25bps cut as early as June • Domestic data has been mixed; further monetary impetus is essential to boost the economy • Inflation is benign and recent AUD-USD move lower is not an impe...



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