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  • 6-Jan – Greek election raises the stakes for ECB QE - Updated Mon January 5, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Sharp fall in oil price likely lifted total trade surplus • Malaysia – We expect export growth rebounded in November • Euro area – Falling oil prices could pull inflation negative • Market focus • Euro-area inflatio...

  • 17-Dec – More pain before gain for the INR - Updated Tue December 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – We expect the CBC to keep benchmark policy rate unchanged • New Zealand – Q3 GDP growth likely remained strong at 0.6% q/q • Germany – IFO business climate likely improved in December • Market focus • Crowded posit...

  • 16-Dec – Abenomics 2.0 is unlikely - Updated Mon December 15, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Inflation is likely to remain muted • Thailand – We expect the BoT to stay put on rates • UK – Labour-market slack likely diminished further • Market focus • The ruling bloc wins a super-majority in the lower h...

  • 15-Dec – Fed: Considerably patient - Updated Sun December 14, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore - NODX expansion expected due to favourable base effect • Euro area – December PMI will likely improve marginally • Nigeria – November CPI likely to reflect FX weakness • Market focus • We think the Fed will repla...

  • 12-Dec – Abe looks set to reaffirm his authority - Updated Thu December 11, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Tankan to show improving sentiment for large manufacturers • Philippines – Remittance growth expected to pick up for rest of 2014 • Singapore – Retail sales ex-autos were likely lacklustre • Market focus • We expect...

  • 10-Dec – Our currency, your problem - Updated Tue December 9, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Korea – BoK is expected to keep the base rate on hold • Indonesia – We expect the BI rate to be unchanged in December • The Philippines – BSP set to keep policy rates on hold • Market focus • USD strength in H1-2015; sign...

  • 09-Dec – ECB TLTRO tantrum could trigger QE - Updated Mon December 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Job creation was likely weak in November • China – Continued drop in producer prices raises concerns • Korea – Hold onto the long 10Y KTB trade; we revise up the stop-loss • Market focus • The 11 December TLTRO ...

  • Asia data previews – 05-12 Dec - Updated Fri December 5, 2014

    • China is due to hold its Annual Central Economic Work Conference from 9-12 December • Central banks of Indonesia, Korea, Philippines and New Zealand are expected to keep rates on hold • We expect slower industrial production growth in China, Ind...

  • 04-Dec – We expect the BoK to cut rates in Q1-2015 - Updated Wed December 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Falling commodity prices likely affected export performance • Philippines – Inflation likely eased further in November • Taiwan – Inflationary risk likely eased on weak fuel prices • Market focus • Korea’s econo...

  • 02-Dec – The oil slick hits commodity currencies - Updated Mon December 1, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • NEA FX revisions following OPEC’s November meeting • Nigeria – Revisiting our USD-NGN forecasts • USD-COP FX forecasts revised • Market focus • Following the OPEC meeting, we revise down our forecasts for the AUD, NZD and C...



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25-Mar – Reading SARB signals

Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – February export data likely distorted by Lunar New Year • Singapore – We expect IP to have contracted in January-February • Euro area – Pick-up in credit cycle likely continued in February • Market focus • We expect the SARB to leave the repo rate...

In Media

Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.