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  • 30-Jan – Beware Greeks bearing tail-risks - Updated Thu January 29, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect inflation to have fallen in January • South Korea – January exports boosted by more working days • Thailand – Inflation was likely subdued in January on falling oil prices • Market focus • Signs of inv...

  • Australia – Dovish RBA expected, but no rate cuts - Updated Thu January 29, 2015

    The RBA is likely to revert to a dovish stance, explicitly acknowledging the possibility of further rate cuts • However, we maintain our view that the RBA will not cut the cash rate further • We expect further weakness in the AUD, with the central...

  • 29-Jan – If Singapore is the next Switzerland… - Updated Wed January 28, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – IP likely rose m/m in December; inflation likely slowed • South Korea – We expect industrial production to have improved in December • Euro area – CPI likely to move further into negative territory in January • Mark...

  • 28-Jan – ‘Patient’ Fed watches the data - Updated Tue January 27, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – RBNZ expected to keep cash rate unchanged at 3.50% • Philippines – Q4 GDP growth rebound expected after disappointing Q3 • South Africa – MPC to clarify tightening intent • Market focus • We expect little chan...

  • 27-Jan – BoT to keep rates on hold - Updated Mon January 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep policy rates unchanged • Australia – Q4-2014 inflation was likely lower at 1.8% y/y • US – Fed in ‘hibernation’; statement should repeat ‘patience’ • Market focus • We reiterate our call tha...

  • 26-Jan – ECB reinforces AXJ cross-currents - Updated Sun January 25, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Trade deficit to widen in November • Taiwan – Monitoring index to show economy on steady growth path • Vietnam – January data likely to show an acceleration ahead of Tet • Market focus • PBoC signals defensive...

  • 23-Jan – The ECB’s excellent QE adventure - Updated Thu January 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Exports on track for modest recovery • Singapore – IP likely to have contracted in December • United Kingdom – GDP likely rose 0.7% q/q in Q4 • Market focus • The ECB will buy sovereign bonds from March in an ex...

  • 22-Jan – Greece’s election heralds a move to the left - Updated Wed January 21, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – We expect Q4 GDP growth to have slowed • Thailand – Trade account likely improved further • Taiwan – IP data to show the economy in better shape than in 2010-11 • Market focus • Anti-bailout, left-wing Syriza...

  • 20-Jan – BoJ faces a tough situation - Updated Mon January 19, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • We revise our USD-CHF forecasts after the SNB’s surprise move • New Zealand – Inflation likely remained flat q/q • UK – We expect no change in votes at the January MPC meeting • Market focus • The BoJ is likely to expand ...

  • 19-Jan – A cold December in China - Updated Sun January 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Growth concerns put downward pressure on rates • Nigeria – Monetary policy rate expected to stay on hold • Turkey – CBRT will most likely keep rates unchanged • Market focus • Growth momentum remains weak in Chin...



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23-Apr – China SOE default: A blessing in...

Top 3 data/events • United States – Underlying trend in new home sales is firming up • Germany – IFO business climate likely continued to improve • Vietnam – April data likely showed steady growth • Market focus • First SOE default likely to improve credit risk pricing in China’s onshore...

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