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  • 28-Nov – No quick fix to China’s growth - Updated Thu November 27, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect inflation to have spiked in November • South Korea – Exports likely slowed in November • Thailand – November inflation was likely subdued • Market focus • We expect China’s official manufacturing PMI ...

  • Philippines – Downside risks from Q3 GDP results - Updated Thu November 27, 2014

    Q3 GDP growth slows to 5.3% y/y, despite decent growth in consumption, investment and exports • We lower our GDP forecasts to 5.8% in 2014 and 6.0% in 2015 from 6.5% and 6.6%, respectively • The economy may also face downside risks from global eco...

  • 25-Nov – OPEC output cuts expected - Updated Mon November 24, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – GDP growth likely accelerated in Q3 • Singapore – IP likely improved in October • United States – Q3 GDP may be revised slightly down in second print • Market focus • OPEC meets this week, with output cuts on...

  • 24-Nov – CBN response is key to NGN stability - Updated Sun November 23, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Final Q3 GDP may be revised slightly higher • Philippines – Trade balance to remain neutral on subdued imports • Hong Kong – October exports to reflect lingering external headwinds • Market focus • CBN MPC meeti...

  • 21-Nov – Currency wars and NEA NEERs - Updated Thu November 20, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Exports likely recovered in October, albeit slowly • Taiwan – Strong IP data likely supports the employment outlook • Germany – November IFO will likely deteriorate • Market focus • CNY to sustain CNY NEER appre...

  • 20-Nov – Latam FX: More USD pain - Updated Wed November 19, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – October inflation was likely driven by fuel-subsidy cuts • Vietnam – Inflation likely continued to trend lower in November • US – Falling oil prices add to low underlying inflation pressures • Market focus • This...

  • 17-Nov – Quietly resilient Taiwan - Updated Sun November 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA minutes likely to reiterate a ‘period of stability in rates’ • UK – We expect subdued inflationary pressures for some time • United States – IP data: Don’t take the ISM surveys at face value • Market focus •...

  • Malaysia – Weaker C/A as growth remains strong - Updated Fri November 14, 2014

    • Q3 GDP growth came in at 5.6% y/y and 0.9% q/q seasonally adjusted, above trend but slower than in Q2 • Malaysia’s C/A surplus narrowed on services, income, transfer outflows and a smaller goods surplus • We expect growth to remain stable and BN...

  • 14-Nov – Abenomics put to a vote? [Correction] - Updated Fri November 14, 2014

    This supersedes the version dated 14 November 2014. Page 1, corrects ‘Key data/events’ table. • Top 3 data/events • Japan – Q3 GDP likely reflects weak recovery momentum • Singapore – NODX likely grew for a third straight month • United States ...

  • 13-Nov – Paving the way for Stock Connect - Updated Wed November 12, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – GDP growth likely rebounded after a weak Q2 • Malaysia – Manufacturing production likely supported overall IP • Euro area – Q3 GDP growth likely expanded 0.1% • Market focus • The relaxation of the daily convers...



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05-Mar – US focus: From payrolls to pay rise

Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Elevated TWD NEER to weigh on the TWD • South Korea – We expect a BoK rate cut in Q2-2015 • Malaysia – Exports likely slowed in January • Market focus • We see NFPs at 230,000 from 257,000 and unemployment at 5.6% • The Fed may remove ‘patient’ from its...

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Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.