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  • 07-Apr – One-year review of the BoJ’s QQE - Updated Sun April 6, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in April • Korea and Taiwan – Rebound in equity inflows spurs FX rally • UK – Strong manufacturing activity supports industrial production • Market focus • We expect the BoJ...

  • 12-Mar – Fine-tuning our G10 FX forecasts - Updated Tue March 11, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Growth likely moderated due to seasonal effects • Indonesia – BI expected to keep rates unchanged in March • Malaysia – External tailwinds likely supported IP growth in January • Market focus • We are adjusting sele...

  • 12-Feb – US: Yellen sings from Bernanke’s songbook - Updated Tue February 11, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely rose to a 4.5-year high of 5.9% • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in February • South Korea – The policy rate is likely to be kept on hold at 2.5% • Market focus • There...

  • Indonesia - What Indonesian clients think . . . - Updated Mon February 3, 2014

    • Our Indonesian clients are slightly more optimistic this year on business prospects • Our survey results suggest that sustaining revenue growth remains the key challenge • Indonesian clients are bearish on their local currency vs. USD in 2014,...

  • 31-Jan – AXJ FX to weaken on China slowdown fears - Updated Thu January 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Inflation likely to have accelerated m/m in January • Thailand – Upside risks to inflation • US – January’s Chicago PMI: A taste of things to come in Q1 • Market focus • We forecast China January PMI manufacturi...

  • 08-Jan – Thailand’s prolonged political vacuum [CORRECTION] - Updated Wed January 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Inflation likely remained benign in December • Indonesia – BI expected to keep rates unchanged • Europe – ECB and BoE likely to keep policy on hold • Market focus • Several event risks could disrupt the election, le...

  • 11-Dec – Once bitten, twice shy - Updated Tue December 10, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • India – IIP to turn negative, CPI remains sticky • Indonesia – We expect BI to hike rates at the December meeting • South Korea – BoK is likely to keep its policy rate at 2.5% • Market focus • Cumulative upside data surpris...

  • 10-Dec – BI to hike rates; status quo for rest of Asia - Updated Mon December 9, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely edged up to 5.8% in November • India – Opposition gains in state elections • Malaysia – Industrial production growth likely picked up in October • Market focus • We expect Bank Indonesia...

  • 11-Nov – BI and BoK to keep rates on hold - Updated Sun November 10, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – High base effect likely suppressed export growth • India – CPI inflation to stay elevated; IIP to improve temporarily • UK – Expectations on the downside ahead of new Inflation Report • Market focus • We expe...

  • 05-Nov – UST market: Steady as she goes - Updated Mon November 4, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Real GDP y/y growth likely slowed in Q3 • Singapore – PMI likely edged up in October • Euro area – Muted services expansion according to flash indicator • Market focus • Last week’s Fed statement and strong manu...



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07-Apr – One-year review of the BoJ’s QQE

Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in April • Korea and Taiwan – Rebound in equity inflows spurs FX rally • UK – Strong manufacturing activity supports industrial production • Market focus • We expect the BoJ to stay put at its April 7-8 meeting,...

In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.