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  • 17-Apr – USD-CNY forecast revisions - Updated Thu April 16, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – March export orders likely supported by rising tech demand • Malaysia – Inflation to increase from April • US – March CPI inflation data likely to support the Fed’s ‘no rush’ view • Market focus • We raise CNY fore...

  • Asia data previews – 3-10 April 2015 - Updated Fri April 3, 2015

    BoJ, RBA and RBI are likely to keep policy rates unchanged but ease further in Q2 • We also expect BoK to keep policy rates on hold for now and act on future data movements • China’s inflation and credit growth could ease, allowing room for furthe...

  • Asia data previews – 13-20 March 2015 - Updated Fri March 13, 2015

    • We think BI will maintain an easing bias amid low inflation and global central bank easing • Singapore’s February NODX was likely affected by Lunar New Year data distortions • We expect a BoJ move in April not March ...

  • Asia data previews – 27 Feb – 6 Mar 2015 - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    • We expect the RBA and BNM to keep policy rates on hold; RBA may be a close call • Indonesia, Thailand, South Korea and the Philippines to release inflation data, with differing expectations • We see still-weak export growth in South Korea and Ma...

  • 06-Feb – Malaysia shows resilience - Updated Thu February 5, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – New GDP series likely to show slower economic activity in FY15 • Japan – Current account balance was likely positive in December 2014 • Taiwan – Trade surplus was likely boosted by a lower (oil) import bill • Marke...

  • 6-Jan – Greek election raises the stakes for ECB QE - Updated Mon January 5, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Sharp fall in oil price likely lifted total trade surplus • Malaysia – We expect export growth rebounded in November • Euro area – Falling oil prices could pull inflation negative • Market focus • Euro-area inflatio...

  • Asia data previews – 05-12 Dec - Updated Fri December 5, 2014

    • China is due to hold its Annual Central Economic Work Conference from 9-12 December • Central banks of Indonesia, Korea, Philippines and New Zealand are expected to keep rates on hold • We expect slower industrial production growth in China, Ind...

  • 04-Dec – We expect the BoK to cut rates in Q1-2015 - Updated Wed December 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Falling commodity prices likely affected export performance • Philippines – Inflation likely eased further in November • Taiwan – Inflationary risk likely eased on weak fuel prices • Market focus • Korea’s econo...

  • 05-Nov – Aussie labour-market uncertainty persists - Updated Tue November 4, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ minutes in focus after its surprise easing • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep rates unchanged • Taiwan – Tech exports likely rose on year-end holiday sales demand • Market focus • The Australian Bureau of Stat...

  • Asia data previews – Week of 01-Nov - Updated Fri October 31, 2014

    China’s manufacturing PMI likely remained flat amid weak domestic demand; we expect a 25bps deposit rate cut in Q4 • We expect RBA, BoT and BNM to keep policy rates unchanged in the week ahead; BoJ minutes may show some concern on inflation target ...



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Trade idea

17-Apr – USD-CNY forecast revisions

Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – March export orders likely supported by rising tech demand • Malaysia – Inflation to increase from April • US – March CPI inflation data likely to support the Fed’s ‘no rush’ view • Market focus • We raise CNY forecasts vs the USD and lift the short-term FX...

In Media

Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.