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  • 13-Feb – Growth, inflation and the BoJ - Updated Thu February 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – SLF expansion to ease seasonal liquidity volatility • India – January trade deficit seen narrowing further on low oil imports • Philippines – Remittances to be buoyed by improving US labour market • Market focus • J...

  • 06-Feb – Malaysia shows resilience - Updated Thu February 5, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – New GDP series likely to show slower economic activity in FY15 • Japan – Current account balance was likely positive in December 2014 • Taiwan – Trade surplus was likely boosted by a lower (oil) import bill • Marke...

  • 02-Feb – India: RBI likely to cut rates - Updated Sun February 1, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia − RBA likely to revert to a dovish stance, without cutting rates • South Korea − CPI inflation likely picked up moderately in January • US – ISM likely moderated on global headwinds, oil price rout • Market focus ...

  • 26-Sep – India – RBI to maintain its hawkish stance - Updated Thu September 25, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – We expect a slight improvement in exports • Hong Kong – High base continues to weigh on retail sales growth • Euro area – We expect business and consumer confidence to weaken • Market focus • RBI expected to k...

  • 27-Aug – India’s C/A deficit wider but easily funded - Updated Tue August 26, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – GDP growth likely improved in Q2 • South Korea – Improving exports and sentiment likely supported IP • Hong Kong – Retail sales growth probably still contracting • Market focus • India Q1-FY15 C/A deficit lik...

  • 13-Aug – BoK: Jumping on the bandwagon - Updated Tue August 12, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – July WPI likely to move lower • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in August • US – Headline retail sales likely soft on lower car sales and gas prices • Market focus • The BoK will likely cut the base...

  • 11-Aug – Recalibrating our Asian rates views - Updated Sun August 10, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – Unemployment likely to fall as recovery resumes • Philippines – Export growth likely accelerated in June • India – We expect an IIP improvement and a CPI pick-up • Market focus • Domestic factors support stee...

  • 04-Aug – HKD in focus - Updated Sun August 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • G10 FX – Forecast changes to USD-CAD and USD-CHF • Australia – RBA will likely reiterate the need for a ‘period of stable rates’ • India – RBI likely to maintain its vigil on inflation • Market focus • We estimate capital i...

  • 11-Jul – India: A few hits, a few misses - Updated Thu July 10, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Slide in USD-CNY fixings may signal more CNY strength • Singapore – External demand to mitigate domestic softness • Euro area – Industrial production expected to dip on a monthly basis • Market focus • FY15 fiscal ...

  • 10-Jul – Indonesia election update - Updated Wed July 9, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Credit growth will likely stabilise from here • India – May IIP likely reached a 15-month high • Latam – Tough times, easing bias • Market focus • Quick-count results suggest a Jokowi victory, albeit by a narrow ma...

  • 09-Jul – BoK: On hold, awaiting more data - Updated Tue July 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Trade surplus expected to have rebounded • BNM and BI – BNM likely to hike rates; BI likely to keep them on hold • India – A budget beyond numbers • Market focus • We expect the BoK to keep the base rate at 2.50% in...

  • 13-Jun – Middle East unsettles oil markets, again - Updated Thu June 12, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – May WPI likely to have stayed about flat • Philippines – Remittance growth to support current account • Euro area – Inflation set to slide further • Market focus • Iraq’s territorial and national integrity is bein...

  • 02-Jun – RBI likely to stay on hold - Updated Sun June 1, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – Inflation likely remained low in May • Indonesia – Inflation likely slowed in May • Australia – RBA expected to indicate ‘a period of stability in rates’ • Market focus • We expect the RBI to keep the repo ra...

  • 28-May – INR short-term weighting cut to Neutral - Updated Tue May 27, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – GDP growth likely remained robust in Q1 • South Korea – IP growth in April was likely backed by strong exports • Brazil – COPOM is probably done for now • Market focus • Reserve Bank of India has acted vigorou...

  • 31-Mar – Reserve Bank of India likely to stay on hold - Updated Sun March 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – PMI may show further moderation • South Korea – CPI inflation expected to be benign, even with recovery • Australia – RBA likely to maintain a ‘period of stability’ in rates • Market focus • Sharp correction in in...

  • 06-Mar – India – Polling time looms - Updated Wed March 5, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Bangladesh – Improving sentiment in the T-bond market • Malaysia – Exports likely remained healthy in January • Taiwan – Exports likely rebounded sharply following seasonal effects • Market focus • India’s national electio...

  • 10-Feb – India: Softer inflation amid growth pains - Updated Sun February 9, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – December export growth likely remained robust • Japan – December machinery orders likely slightly dropped m/m • US – Another lacklustre payroll print; but tapering is set to continue • Market focus • India Jan...

  • 06-Feb – Draghi is likely to downplay deflation risks - Updated Wed February 5, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – The SIGMA signal remains bullish for duration in February • India – Advance GDP estimate likely to show below-potential growth • Malaysia – Exports likely remained healthy in December • Market focus • We do not expe...

  • 09-Jan – Steady job gains, steady taper - Updated Wed January 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – November IIP likely to stay in negative territory • Philippines – Exports likely fell on a m/m basis in November • UK – Industrial production expected to maintain positive momentum • Market focus • Following robust...

  • 17-Dec – India – RBI to focus on managing inflation - Updated Mon December 16, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – November’s trade balance likely remained in deficit • Malaysia – Inflation may have increased very slightly in November • US – CPI likely tame; homebuilders’ confidence probably rose • Market focus • Uncomfortably ...



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13-Feb – Growth, inflation and the BoJ

Top 3 data/events • China – SLF expansion to ease seasonal liquidity volatility • India – January trade deficit seen narrowing further on low oil imports • Philippines – Remittances to be buoyed by improving US labour market • Market focus • Japan’s Q4 GDP likely improved q/q on...

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