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  • Thailand – What Thai clients think - Updated Tue February 3, 2015

    Client sentiment in Bangkok is firmer in 2015 than 2014 • Europe is the biggest concern for 2015, while concerns about Thailand have eased • Thai clients maintain a bearish view on the Thai baht...

  • 30-Jan – Beware Greeks bearing tail-risks - Updated Thu January 29, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect inflation to have fallen in January • South Korea – January exports boosted by more working days • Thailand – Inflation was likely subdued in January on falling oil prices • Market focus • Signs of inv...

  • 27-Jan – BoT to keep rates on hold - Updated Mon January 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep policy rates unchanged • Australia – Q4-2014 inflation was likely lower at 1.8% y/y • US – Fed in ‘hibernation’; statement should repeat ‘patience’ • Market focus • We reiterate our call tha...

  • 22-Jan – Greece’s election heralds a move to the left - Updated Wed January 21, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – We expect Q4 GDP growth to have slowed • Thailand – Trade account likely improved further • Taiwan – IP data to show the economy in better shape than in 2010-11 • Market focus • Anti-bailout, left-wing Syriza...

  • Thought Leadership Compendium - Updated Thu January 8, 2015

    Global trade – It’s only resting • Productivity – Increasingly critical as the demographic dividend fades • Inequality – Widening within, but narrowing between, countries • Financial inclusion – Its potential as a poverty fighter • ASEAN – G...

  • 08-Jan – ASEAN reforms as oil prices fall - Updated Wed January 7, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – External and retail trade likely contracted in November • Philippines – We expect good, but not great, export growth • Germany – Industrial production likely increased at a steady rate • Market focus • Indonesia...

  • 16-Dec – Abenomics 2.0 is unlikely - Updated Mon December 15, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Inflation is likely to remain muted • Thailand – We expect the BoT to stay put on rates • UK – Labour-market slack likely diminished further • Market focus • The ruling bloc wins a super-majority in the lower h...

  • 28-Nov – No quick fix to China’s growth - Updated Thu November 27, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect inflation to have spiked in November • South Korea – Exports likely slowed in November • Thailand – November inflation was likely subdued • Market focus • We expect China’s official manufacturing PMI ...

  • 21-Nov – Currency wars and NEA NEERs - Updated Thu November 20, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Exports likely recovered in October, albeit slowly • Taiwan – Strong IP data likely supports the employment outlook • Germany – November IFO will likely deteriorate • Market focus • CNY to sustain CNY NEER appre...

  • 04-Nov – All-powerful ECB likely to act with restraint - Updated Mon November 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • US – Republicans set to gain a small Senate majority after midterms • Thailand – The MPC is likely to keep the policy rate at 2.0% • Taiwan – Headline inflation likely capped by falling transport costs • Market focus • As...

  • 27-Oct – Turning off the US QE tap, and watching - Updated Sun October 26, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Retail sales likely increased moderately in September • Thailand – Trade and C/A surpluses expected for September • Vietnam – Economic data likely to show mild improvement in October • Market focus • We think the ...

  • 26-Sep – India – RBI to maintain its hawkish stance - Updated Thu September 25, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – We expect a slight improvement in exports • Hong Kong – High base continues to weigh on retail sales growth • Euro area – We expect business and consumer confidence to weaken • Market focus • RBI expected to k...

  • 16-Sep – UK faces an eventful week - Updated Mon September 15, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Inflation likely remained stable in August • Singapore – NODX growth was likely helped by favourable base effect • Thailand – BoT likely to keep policy rate on hold for the rest of the year • Market focus • The ...

  • 15-Aug – Dollar divergence - Updated Thu August 14, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Economic activity likely picked up in Q2 • Singapore – NODX likely contracted in July, although less than in June • US – A busy summer for factories, but a calmer autumn is coming • Market focus • We expect cont...

  • 05-Aug – BoT to hold; bond flows to stay positive - Updated Mon August 4, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – The unemployment rate likely dropped to a five-year low • Australia – Jobless rate likely rose to 6.1%, participation to 64.8% • United States – ISMs may not align • Market focus • We expect the BoT to keep i...

  • 30-Jul – China eases more - Updated Tue July 29, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Current account was likely in surplus in June • Philippines – We expect BSP to hike policy rates on 31 July • Euro area – CPI likely to slow, unemployment to stay unchanged • Market focus • Growing evidence that...

  • 25-Jul – Lowering our US GDP but not yield forecast - Updated Thu July 24, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Export recovery likely gained momentum in June • Vietnam – July data likely improved, but not significantly • Turkey – Tightening the stop on short 6M USD-TRY • Market focus • We have lowered our 2014 US ...

  • 17-Jul – Thailand on a better trajectory - Updated Wed July 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Turkey – CBRT expected to cut, reluctantly • Euro area – CPI likely stayed at 0.5% • US – Housing starts likely dropped for a second consecutive month • Market focus • Economic sentiment has improved following the military ...

  • 27-Jun – US growth: A big bite into expectations - Updated Thu June 26, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – May industrial production likely rebounded m/m • South Korea – Trade to bounce back, CPI remains benign • Thailand – June inflation is likely to be stable • Market focus • The sharp downward revision to US Q1 GD...

  • 23-Jun – SCTF: Corporate clients turn bullish on AUD - Updated Sun June 22, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Export recovery likely remained slow • Germany – Strong current sentiment, but expectations are normalising • Turkey – Reluctant CBRT likely to cut rates by a further 25bps • Market focus • Short USD positionin...



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30-Jan – Beware Greeks bearing tail-risks

Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect inflation to have fallen in January • South Korea – January exports boosted by more working days • Thailand – Inflation was likely subdued in January on falling oil prices • Market focus • Signs of investor uncertainty intensify, as the Greek...

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