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  • 30-Mar – Euro area is gaining momentum - Updated Sun March 29, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – IP likely dropped during the Lunar New Year holiday • Thailand – Rising tourism income may have boosted C/A surplus • US – Soft core PCE inflation to keep September hike on track • Market focus • The euro area ...

  • 27-Jan – BoT to keep rates on hold - Updated Mon January 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep policy rates unchanged • Australia – Q4-2014 inflation was likely lower at 1.8% y/y • US – Fed in ‘hibernation’; statement should repeat ‘patience’ • Market focus • We reiterate our call tha...

  • 04-Nov – All-powerful ECB likely to act with restraint - Updated Mon November 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • US – Republicans set to gain a small Senate majority after midterms • Thailand – The MPC is likely to keep the policy rate at 2.0% • Taiwan – Headline inflation likely capped by falling transport costs • Market focus • As...

  • 27-Oct – Turning off the US QE tap, and watching - Updated Sun October 26, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Retail sales likely increased moderately in September • Thailand – Trade and C/A surpluses expected for September • Vietnam – Economic data likely to show mild improvement in October • Market focus • We think the ...

  • 15-Aug – Dollar divergence - Updated Thu August 14, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Economic activity likely picked up in Q2 • Singapore – NODX likely contracted in July, although less than in June • US – A busy summer for factories, but a calmer autumn is coming • Market focus • We expect cont...

  • 05-Aug – BoT to hold; bond flows to stay positive - Updated Mon August 4, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – The unemployment rate likely dropped to a five-year low • Australia – Jobless rate likely rose to 6.1%, participation to 64.8% • United States – ISMs may not align • Market focus • We expect the BoT to keep i...

  • 25-Jul – Lowering our US GDP but not yield forecast - Updated Thu July 24, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Export recovery likely gained momentum in June • Vietnam – July data likely improved, but not significantly • Turkey – Tightening the stop on short 6M USD-TRY • Market focus • We have lowered our 2014 US ...

  • 17-Jul – Thailand on a better trajectory - Updated Wed July 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Turkey – CBRT expected to cut, reluctantly • Euro area – CPI likely stayed at 0.5% • US – Housing starts likely dropped for a second consecutive month • Market focus • Economic sentiment has improved following the military ...

  • 27-Jun – US growth: A big bite into expectations - Updated Thu June 26, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – May industrial production likely rebounded m/m • South Korea – Trade to bounce back, CPI remains benign • Thailand – June inflation is likely to be stable • Market focus • The sharp downward revision to US Q1 GD...

  • The Morning Call 17-Jun – Oil spillover in Asia - Updated Mon June 16, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • Japan – May exports likely slowed; BoJ minutes unlikely to surprise • Thailand – BoT’s easing cycle is likely over • US – Housing starts likely edged lower; CPI may have continued rising • Market focus • Growth impact...



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Trade idea

30-Mar – Euro area is gaining momentum

Top 3 data/events • South Korea – IP likely dropped during the Lunar New Year holiday • Thailand – Rising tourism income may have boosted C/A surplus • US – Soft core PCE inflation to keep September hike on track • Market focus • The euro area recovery is gaining momentum • Low energy...

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