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  • 25-Feb – Singapore investor roundtable: Optimistic bears - Updated Mon February 24, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – January industrial production likely softer • Hong Kong – Scaling back one-off fiscal concessions • South Africa – Fiscal consolidation in an election year • Market focus • We held a Singapore investor roundtabl...

  • 14-Nov – Yellen’s hearing: Safety first - Updated Wed November 13, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Q3 GDP report to confirm continued resilience • Malaysia – GDP likely picked up as external demand improved • Philippines – Stable remittance growth likely • Market focus • We expect Yellen to ‘play it safe’ a...

  • Asia Focus – Clearing skies - Updated Wed October 9, 2013

    We see growth improving across the region, despite recent financial-market distress. Fretting over the growth outlook because of portfolio outflows is missing the point, in our view. We think more optimism is in order, as simultaneous growth in majo...

  • Local Markets Compendium 2014 - Updated Mon October 7, 2013

    To paraphrase Mark Twain, the reports of the death of EM bond markets have been greatly exaggerated. Increased global allocations to local EM bond markets have been not cyclical but primarily structural in nature, reflecting these markets’ rising ec...

  • What NE Asian clients think . . . - Updated Tue September 24, 2013

    • During our client trip we surveyed 450 investor and corporate clients in Seoul, Taipei and Hong Kong • There is more optimism now than was the case in Q1-2013, contradicting the idea of any panic or crisis • Mainland China’s growth is still the ...

  • Asia leverage uncovered - Updated Mon July 1, 2013

    The following is a joint research report from the Equity and Regional Research teams. Two versions of the report are available; the Equity Research version includes additional company-specific content. • Unprecedented approach to systemic credit r...

  • 20-May – African monetary policy paths diverge - Updated Sun May 19, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Inflation likely edged higher year-on-year in April • Australia – May minutes might provide insight into further moves • UK – Near-term price pressures probably remained elevated • Market focus • BoG to hike it...

  • Asia Focus - Transforming, rebalancing, outperforming - Updated Wed March 13, 2013

    • The global economy is recovering, despite the weakness in the West. It will be difficult for the US to achieve more than 2% GDP growth this year; fiscal tightening and policy uncertainty will cast shadows on the turnaround in the housing and energ...

  • 22-Nov-12 – From ‘RoRo’ to relative value - Updated Wed November 21, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Inflation continues to test cyclical bottom • Singapore – Limited respite likely on the inflation front • Taiwan – Production data likely to show improving economic activity • Market focus • The focus on risk-on/...

  • 19-Oct-12 – Northeast Asia is on the mend - Updated Thu October 18, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Inflation is finding a floor • Japan – Trade outlook remains gloomy • Taiwan – Job-market data to show the economy remains resilient • Market focus • Latest China data may improve appetite for Asian assets • C...

  • Local Markets Compendium 2013 - Updated Fri October 5, 2012

    Local-currency emerging bond markets have seen ever greater levels of foreign demand as global investors flee from the ongoing European sovereign crisis and continue to allocate to fixed income securities. From less than USD 150bn in March 2009, for...

  • The resurgence - Updated Mon September 24, 2012

    • Asia is still partly insulated from the West – in much of the region, domestic demand has grown more strongly than exports in 2012. However, Asia has been slowing in recent months. We expect growth to turn up in H1-2013, and we forecast better gro...

  • 25-Jun-12 – Moody’s ups the heat on Europe - Updated Sun June 24, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Base effect to prop up otherwise lacklustre production • Philippines – Trade deficit likely narrowed thanks to export growth • Hong Kong – Gauging the strength of external headwinds • Market focus • The Moody’s...



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In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.