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  • China – SME index distorted by holiday effect - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    The SME index fell modestly to 55.6 in February from 56.6 in January; expectations index improved Real activity weakened during the Lunar New Year holiday; job market deteriorated further Credit availability remains tight for SMEs; financing costs...

  • Asia – What Asian clients think - Updated Thu February 26, 2015

    • We bring together the results of all our client surveys in Q1-2015 on growth, risks and FX views • Vietnam has the largest share of optimists on growth, while Malaysia has the most pessimists • Asian clients are more bearish on their currencies ...

  • Asia – Breaking with the bearish view - Updated Tue February 24, 2015

    After meeting clients around Asia and the US, we find the mood to be subdued but optimistic long-term • We are less bearish on China’s growth prospects due to property- and debt-related factors • Confusion reigns over monetary policy reaction fun...

  • Asia leverage – China’s debt/GDP ratio stabilises - Updated Fri February 6, 2015

    • China’s q/q GDP growth is now in line with credit growth, ending the period of worsening debt/GDP ratios • China’s debt/GDP ratio may end 2015 flat versus mid-2014, a significant achievement • External debt is in focus for India, Indonesia and...

  • Asia macro trackers – Room for monetary easing - Updated Fri February 6, 2015

    • The Philippines emerges as the best performer in Asia in Q4-2014 • Thailand’s growth tracker signals a pick-up in GDP from very soft levels; Indonesia’s GDP remains soft • Current account trackers are stronger than before ...

  • China – Our big real-estate developer survey - Updated Fri February 6, 2015

    Our proprietary survey of 30 developers suggests that a mild recovery is on the horizon • Sales are slow and buyers remain cautious despite modest price cuts and discounts • However, respondents expect construction activity to accelerate this yea...

  • Vietnam – What Vietnamese clients think - Updated Thu February 5, 2015

    Our Vietnam-based clients are the most bullish in the region, according to our poll • They are most concerned about the local economy, followed by the EU and China • The majority see upside risks to USD-VND in 2015, in line with our view...

  • China cuts RRR 50bps, more broad easing to come - Updated Wed February 4, 2015

    • Event • The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) today announced a 50bps reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut effective from 5 February (equivalent to adding approximately CNY 570bn to the system). The PBoC introduced an additional targeted RRR cut of 5...

  • Indonesia – What Indonesian clients think - Updated Tue February 3, 2015

    • Our Indonesian clients are more optimistic about business prospects this year than in 2014 • Clients are more concerned about the domestic economy than other economies • Most clients expect Bank Indonesia to either maintain or hike the BI rate i...

  • South Korea – What Korean clients think - Updated Thu January 29, 2015

    Korean clients have turned much more bearish on business prospects and the economic outlook in 2015 • Clients are more concerned about the domestic economy than other economies • More than 70% of respondents expect the KRW to weaken vs. USD in 201...

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