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  • 25-Mar – Reading SARB signals - Updated Tue March 24, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – February export data likely distorted by Lunar New Year • Singapore – We expect IP to have contracted in January-February • Euro area – Pick-up in credit cycle likely continued in February • Market focus • We ...

  • ZAR – Near-term concerns, medium-term value - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    USD-ZAR likely to see further upside in Q2; we raise our 2015 FX forecasts, still anticipating a Q2 peak • In line with our new FX forecasts, we downgrade our short-term FX weighting on the ZAR to Neutral • We upgrade our medium-term ZAR FX weigh...

  • 17-Mar – Further SSA currency weakness likely - Updated Mon March 16, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Trade data likely disappointed in February • Malaysia – We expect inflation to have slowed further in February • UK – We expect unanimous MPC and robust labour-market data • Market focus • USD-NGN is likely to adjus...

  • 16-Mar – BoJ will likely move in April not March - Updated Sun March 15, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore - We expect modest NODX growth in January-February • Turkey – CBRT will likely keep rates unchanged • South Africa – C/A deficit to highlight ongoing vulnerability • Market focus • We expect no BoJ easing at the 16...

  • Nigeria – SC-PCPT up; monetary policy seen on hold - Updated Mon March 9, 2015

    The Standard-Chartered Premise Consumer Price Tracker shows a 0.4% m/m increase in February Price pressures are more pronounced following an end to FX subsidies via the RDAS We expect pressure on the FX rate to be sustained ahead of planned electi...

  • 25-Feb – CNY’s sheepish start to the Year of the Goat - Updated Tue February 24, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – January exports probably stayed soft • Kenya – CBK expected to keep rates on hold, despite deflation • Japan – Key January data to show recovery; inflation likely slowed • Market focus • China’s onshore FX marke...

  • Nigeria stops RDAS FX sales - Updated Wed February 18, 2015

    Event • According to a statement published by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the RDAS/ WDAS window under which foreign exchange was previously available at a subsidised rate will effectively be discontinued. Going forward, all demand for FX wi...

  • 17-Feb – The Asian central bank road-show - Updated Mon February 16, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ likely to stay put at the February meeting • Malaysia – Inflation likely to remain benign for now • Ghana – MPC expected to leave interest rates unchanged • Market focus • Asian central banks remain constructive...

  • Nigeria – The SC-PCPT and delayed elections - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    The Standard Chartered-Premise Consumer Price Tracker reveals a 0.5% m/m decline in January prices • Lower oil prices may be offsetting upward influences on prices of staples, including NGN weakness • Our tracker shows minimal inflationary pressur...

  • Nigeria – January 2015 BSI falls sharply - Updated Fri January 30, 2015

    Business sentiment fell to 58.8 in January, after reaching a series-high in December • All five components that make up the headline BSI fell in January, reflecting challenging conditions • However, 21 out of the total 31 indicators remain above t...



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25-Mar – Reading SARB signals

Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – February export data likely distorted by Lunar New Year • Singapore – We expect IP to have contracted in January-February • Euro area – Pick-up in credit cycle likely continued in February • Market focus • We expect the SARB to leave the repo rate...

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