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  • India – Hope in challenging times - Updated Thu July 5, 2012

    Investors are more hopeful of measures from the new finance minister, but the macros are still lagging • Growth might have reached a floor in Q4-FY12 but is likely to remain below potential at 6.2% in FY13 • Lower oil prices could shift the FY13 B...

  • India – Positive measures, limited impact - Updated Tue June 26, 2012

    RBI measures to halt INR slide are positive but fall short of market expectations • Lack of strong government measures to address India’s fundamental woes is disappointing • Measures are likely to generate fresh USD flows, but FIIs might be hesi...

  • Wake-up call - Updated Thu May 3, 2012

    GDP growth might have bottomed out in H2-FY12 but the pace of recovery is contingent on critical reforms. We expect 7.1% growth in FY13 to be back-loaded. The capex cycle is unlikely to pick up soon, given subdued business sentiment and lack of mone...

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Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.