Choose the category below to
refine article list


Search Results

Results: 1 - 11 of 11 for 
 per page
Sort result by 
  • Offshore Renminbi – Silver linings - Updated Thu May 7, 2015

    RGI fell in March, the first time since Oct-2012, on a weak CNY, lower deposits and less Dim Sum issuance • Since March, however, CNY has stabilised, southbound flows have risen and CNH liquidity has improved • Renminbi trade settlement remains s...

  • Cross-currents and vulnerability in AXJ currencies - Updated Tue March 17, 2015

    Asian currency performance has varied significantly this year, in line with our ‘cross-currents’ call • USD-AXJ is likely to see further upside in Q2 on valuation, policy divergence and flow volatility • We raise higher our USD-CNY, USD-IDR, USD-M...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Embracing reforms - Updated Mon March 9, 2015

    • RGI rose 2.3% m/m in January, the fastest gain in eight months; index shows steady momentum • We see upside risk to USD-CNY in the near term; band widening is unlikely until at least H2-2015 • Shanghai FTZ spearheads capital account liberalisati...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Resilience to be tested in 2015 - Updated Wed January 7, 2015

    RGI rose 1.2% m/m in November; trade settlement is a key driver, as 22% of China’s trade settled in RMB • By end-2015, we expect the RGI to reach 2,500 and Renminbi deposits in Hong Kong to reach CNY 1.05tn • Dim Sum issuance this year should be ...

  • CNY – A new focus on trade-weighted stability - Updated Tue January 6, 2015

    • Gains in the CNY’s trade-weighted value set to stall amid subdued growth and less favourable seasonals • We revise upward our USD-CNY forecast profile while still projecting a mild CNY rebound in H2 • We lower our short-term FX weighting on the ...

  • HKD – Opportunities at the limit - Updated Fri July 11, 2014

    An increase in HKD demand towards mid-year pushed USD-HKD to the 7.75 Convertibility Undertaking HKMA operations to keep USD-HKD within the 7.75-7.85 band are part of the LERS’ normal operations The LERS remains well suited for Hong Kong and will ...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Big Apple, bigger Renminbi - Updated Fri March 7, 2014

    • We add New York to our RGI, reflecting rising Renminbi payment flows and CNH FX turnover • New York enjoys time-zone advantage, massive trade with China, and rising investor interest in the RMB • We summarise the latest Renminbi developments in...

  • Hong Kong – Older, wiser, stronger - Updated Thu February 27, 2014

    The population in Hong Kong is ageing; it needs wiser fiscal policy long-term to avoid a structural deficit • FY15 budget is a good start, and a stronger economy means a healthy fiscal position in the coming years • The property-market price cor...

  • A new normal in Hong Kong FX options - Updated Mon January 6, 2014

    • The seasonal upturn in Hong Kong FX options is having a bigger impact on the CNH than on the HKD • The USD-CNH implied volatility decline comes amid rising realised volatility and policy uncertainty • Leveraged accounts should buy USD-CNH option...

  • HKD – Stronger for longer - Updated Fri November 8, 2013

    • The HKD is approaching the strong end of its band on capital inflows, rate differentials and seasonals • We lower our USD-HKD forecast but still look for a rebound in 2014 on Fed tapering and capital outflows • USD-HKD forwards beyond 3M trade b...

  • Renewed HKD weakness in Q3 - Updated Wed August 7, 2013

    • The HKD recovered some lost ground in Q2 on favourable seasonals as dividend inflows increased • But we expect USD-HKD to rebound heading into 2014 on portfolio outflows and global market volatility • With USD-HKD close to the 7.75 floor, buying...

Go to page

New User

Find out more about our research

Straight2Bank User

Please access our research via your Straight2Bank account

In Media

Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.