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  • Taiwan – CBC to keep rates on hold in 2015 - Updated Wed April 29, 2015

    • Data indicates continued economic recovery; strong industrial data offset weak export growth in Feb-Mar • We lower our 2015 inflation forecast to 0.4% y/y (from 0.8%) and raise our 2016 forecast to 1.8% (1.4%) • We think the CBC will keep the po...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Embracing reforms - Updated Mon March 9, 2015

    • RGI rose 2.3% m/m in January, the fastest gain in eight months; index shows steady momentum • We see upside risk to USD-CNY in the near term; band widening is unlikely until at least H2-2015 • Shanghai FTZ spearheads capital account liberalisati...

  • The Morning Call 17-Jun – Oil spillover in Asia - Updated Mon June 16, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • Japan – May exports likely slowed; BoJ minutes unlikely to surprise • Thailand – BoT’s easing cycle is likely over • US – Housing starts likely edged lower; CPI may have continued rising • Market focus • Growth impact...

  • Taiwan – Things are looking up - Updated Fri April 18, 2014

    Latest Taiwan data shows growth momentum picking up and inflation edging higher The recent student protest is likely to have only a minimal impact on the near-term growth outlook Policy makers may consider shifting to a neutral monetary stance and...

  • Taiwan – H2 outlook for FX and rates - Updated Tue July 16, 2013

    We expect a further pick-up in domestic economic activity in H2 and a positive tech-sector outlook • USD-TWD is likely to consolidate in Q3 on TWD NEER, weaker seasonality and a stronger USD outlook • We maintain Neutral short-term and Overweight...

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