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  • Positive picks in Latam - Updated Wed January 21, 2015

    Latam headwinds include lower commodity prices, slowing global demand, and a stronger USD • For Mexico, some of these risks are priced in; we now expect a 25bps Banxico hike in June • Lower global yields are a near-term positive development for t...

  • Mexico – Not quite there yet - Updated Tue February 4, 2014

    The approved energy reform is expected to have a significant impact on long-term growth • In the short term, growth remains soft; we revise lower our 2014 GDP forecast to 3.0% from 3.8% prior • Moderate growth and contained core inflation will l...

  • Mexico – Another cut is on the cards - Updated Fri May 31, 2013

    Our MFCI shows how much tighter conditions are since Q2-2012, mainly on the stronger MXN • Banxico cut rates in April to curb MXN appreciation, and we think it will cut again • Lower rates make sense both because of vast global liquidity, and weak...



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