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  • FX volatility – Identifying patterns in slopes (1) - Updated Fri February 14, 2014

    • We investigate volatility slopes for EUR-USD, GBP-USD, EUR-JPY and USD-JPY • We find similar statistical profiles and mean-reverting properties across currency pairs • We find that on average the volatility slopes considered for these pairs mean...

  • 19-Feb-13 – Words speak louder than actions - Updated Mon February 18, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – USD-MYR forecasts revised higher • Malaysia – Steady GDP growth and a benign inflationary environment • UK – Labour data to shift the focus from the BoE minutes Market focus • Markets may see the lack of mention ...

  • Taking profit in the Real Money Portfolio - Updated Fri November 2, 2012

    We are taking profit in the Standard Chartered FX Real Money Portfolio • Short positions in the JPY and the INR, alongside longs in the KRW and the CNY, have worked well • The US election brings near-term event risk ahead of likely protracted n...

  • Taking profit in the Real Money Portfolio - Updated Tue July 31, 2012

    We are taking profit in the Standard Chartered FX Real Money Portfolio • The RMP’s EUR short and pro-risk appetite bias have generally worked well • But market conditions remain choppy, hence our focus on locking in profits when available ...

  • IMM report: Leveraged fund selling weighs on USD - Updated Mon July 30, 2012

    CFTC IMM positioning show net USD longs fell to over two-month lows of USD 20.44bn • Net shorts in the EUR and CHF remain the most stretched in outright and open interest terms • Weekly findings confirm bullish short-term flow signals for EUR, JP...

  • IMM Commitments of Traders report - Updated Mon May 21, 2012

    IMM positioning to 15 May shows net USD longs rising to four-year highs of USD 28.52bn • EUR-USD non-commercial account net shorts hit a new record high • Weekly findings confirm bearish short-term flow signals for EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD and NZD...

  • 18-May-12 – The epic quest for growth (and money) - Updated Thu May 17, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Euro area – Greece is in the spotlight at G8 Summit; concrete measures are unlikely • Taiwan – April export orders to rebound on improving tech outlook • Thailand – Weaker external demand to be a drag on Q1 GDP Market focus ...

  • Buy USD-JPY - Updated Wed May 16, 2012

    • We think the correction in USD-JPY is now complete and we are looking for spot to trade higher • Rate differentials have moved in favour of USD gains while positioning has turned more constructive • We target a move up to 84 in spot terms, with ...

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In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.