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  • Philippines – What our clients think - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    Our clients are optimistic – 78% expect better or similar growth prospects versus last year • They expect BSP to keep policy rates unchanged, versus our call of a rate hike in Q4-2015 • Only 13% expect a stronger PHP versus the USD (below 44.00) b...

  • Philippines – Strong rebound in GDP growth - Updated Thu January 29, 2015

    GDP growth accelerated to 6.9% y/y in Q4-2014 from 5.3% in Q3; q/q SA growth was 2.5% • We expect robust GDP growth to continue throughout 2015, with risks to the upside • USD-PHP is supported by positive fundamentals, and could continue to outper...

  • Philippines – Growth improved in Q2 - Updated Thu August 28, 2014

    GDP growth accelerated to 6.4% y/y in Q2 from 5.6% in Q1; a 1.9% q/q seasonally adjusted increase • Better external demand helped; manufacturing and services were buoyant • We maintain our short- and medium-term Neutral FX weighting on the PHP due...

  • Philippines – Promising prospects; food is a risk - Updated Fri May 23, 2014

    We upgrade our 2014 growth forecast to 7.1% from 6.7%; Q1 growth likely to come in at 6.5% y/y • Growth will likely be supported by the robust domestic sector and improving external outlook • With El Niño looming, food inflation is likely to be th...

  • Philippines – Remittances get an external boost - Updated Mon January 13, 2014

    We expect further remittance growth on a recovery in global growth and post-typhoon reconstruction • Our models therefore estimate c.2.0-2.5% more support in 2014 than in 2013 • We expect remittance growth to remain positive for GDP growth, curren...

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