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  • 29-Nov – Pricing CNY into year-end - Updated Thu November 28, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – Imports continue to grow as the economy recovers • Thailand – Take profit on receive THB 3Y IRS • USD-CAD – We are raising the stop-loss on our long position Market focus • China’s official manufacturing PMI ...

  • Asian FX PCA – AXJ to rally in Q4 on growth - Updated Mon September 9, 2013

    We update our PCA for AXJ currencies; the rise in the global IP cycle should support AXJ FX in Q4 • We get positive PCA signals for TWD, PHP and IDR; neutral for other AXJ currencies • We raise our short-term FX weightings on SGD and THB to Neut...

  • Taking profit in the Real Money Portfolio - Updated Fri November 2, 2012

    We are taking profit in the Standard Chartered FX Real Money Portfolio • Short positions in the JPY and the INR, alongside longs in the KRW and the CNY, have worked well • The US election brings near-term event risk ahead of likely protracted n...

  • Re-entering the Real Money Portfolio - Updated Fri October 5, 2012

    • We are re-entering the Standard Chartered FX Real Money Portfolio • The portfolio uses EUR and JPY as funding for longs in EM currencies (except INR) • Flush liquidity conditions drive a re-leveraging dynamic; we pre-position for better econom...

  • Standard Chartered Transaction Flows – August - Updated Fri August 17, 2012

    • Our SCTF Position Index shows clients remain substantially short USD vs. KRW, CNY, INR and SGD • Clients in aggregate reduced USD shorts in July vs. CNH, CNY, KRW, TWD, SGD; increased vs. INR, MYR • Custodian clients are substantially short USD ...

  • Hedging strategies in USD-AXJ - Updated Fri July 27, 2012

    • Europe continues to represent the major risk to Asian economies and currencies • But China’s policy easing should help provide a more solid footing for Asian growth in H2 • North-East Asian currencies, notably the KRW, should lead the recovery i...

  • Re-entering the Real Money Portfolio - Updated Thu July 12, 2012

    • We are re-entering the Standard Chartered FX Real Money Portfolio • The portfolio uses EUR as funding currency for longs in EM currencies (except CNY) • Re-entering the portfolio pre-positions for improved cyclical news later in the year ...

  • 10-May-12 – Sell in May… - Updated Wed May 9, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • India – March IIP likely slowed significantly • Malaysia – Central bank to keep rates on hold • Thailand – BoT will likely raise its 2012 GDP growth forecast Market focus • Asian currencies are correcting and have further t...

  • 09-May-12 – Picking up the pace in China - Updated Tue May 8, 2012

    Key events and data • Indonesia – BI to keep interest rates on hold • Philippines – Export growth to remain positive • South Korea – BoK to keep interest rates unchanged Market focus • China’s economy shows tentative signs of recovery, but dow...

  • 8-May-12 – Steady hands at Asian central banks - Updated Mon May 7, 2012

    Top 3 key data/events • Malaysia – Export and import growth likely slowed in March • Greece – Political crisis as pro-bailout parties fail to gain a majority • US – We anticipate sub-par performance for NFIB small business optimism Market focus ...

  • 27-Apr-12 – The canary in the coal mine - Updated Thu April 26, 2012

    Top 3 key events and data • Korea – Industrial production in negative territory • Taiwan – GDP growth to moderate in Q1 • US – Q1 GDP likely to disappoint Market focus • Australia’s money market is pricing in major RBA easing; a warning for the...



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In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.