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  • Asia – What Asian clients think - Updated Thu February 26, 2015

    • We bring together the results of all our client surveys in Q1-2015 on growth, risks and FX views • Vietnam has the largest share of optimists on growth, while Malaysia has the most pessimists • Asian clients are more bearish on their currencies ...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Another year of progress ahead - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    • 2014 was another strong year for CNH market development, with the RGI rising 53% • We outline our top 10 calls for 2015 for the Renminbi and its internationalisation • Formosa bonds are set to receive more policy support; KRW-CNY direct trading ...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Resilience to be tested in 2015 - Updated Wed January 7, 2015

    RGI rose 1.2% m/m in November; trade settlement is a key driver, as 22% of China’s trade settled in RMB • By end-2015, we expect the RGI to reach 2,500 and Renminbi deposits in Hong Kong to reach CNY 1.05tn • Dim Sum issuance this year should be ...

  • Korea vs Japan – The impact of JPY weakness - Updated Tue October 21, 2014

    • The policy response by the Korean authorities to KRW weakness should keep USD-KRW supported • Limited short-term macro impact of JPY weakness on Korea, but prolonged impact is more significant • We revise USD-KRW forecasts higher and forecast ...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Seoul and Paris join the RGI - Updated Tue October 7, 2014

    RGI now includes Seoul and Paris, reflecting their contribution to Renminbi deposits and payment flows • Excluding the new centres, August was a slow month for the RGI amid lingering China macro concerns • Paris is well placed to enjoy recent pol...

  • Offshore RMB – A pragmatic view from onshore - Updated Thu August 7, 2014

    • RGI m/m growth was the slowest in 20 months, reflecting lingering negative effects from prior months • Survey shows little rebound in CNH activity; onshore companies are increasing usage • Shanghai FTZ is off to a good start; many respondents ar...

  • 29-Nov – Pricing CNY into year-end - Updated Thu November 28, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – Imports continue to grow as the economy recovers • Thailand – Take profit on receive THB 3Y IRS • USD-CAD – We are raising the stop-loss on our long position Market focus • China’s official manufacturing PMI ...

  • Asian FX PCA – AXJ to rally in Q4 on growth - Updated Mon September 9, 2013

    We update our PCA for AXJ currencies; the rise in the global IP cycle should support AXJ FX in Q4 • We get positive PCA signals for TWD, PHP and IDR; neutral for other AXJ currencies • We raise our short-term FX weightings on SGD and THB to Neut...



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