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  • 17-Apr – China: Growth momentum slowed in Q1 - Updated Wed April 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Trade deficit likely remained given import re-acceleration • Taiwan – Overseas demand likely supported export orders • US – Yellen sticks to her script in NY speech • Market focus • China’s Q1 GDP slowed to 7.4% y...

  • 08-Apr – New BoK governor may hold rates steady - Updated Mon April 7, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Exports likely grew 13.5% y/y in January-February • Japan – Machinery orders likely declined in February • US – FOMC minutes to shed more light on the timing of first rate hike • Market focus • We expect the ...

  • 26-Mar – In the steady hands of the CBC - Updated Tue March 25, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Bad weather likely weighed on February data • Philippines – BSP is likely to keep policy unchanged in March • South Africa – MPC seen on hold at March meeting; risks are building • Market focus • Expect the CBC to k...

  • 18-Mar – The new BoK governor - Updated Mon March 17, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Trade deficit likely narrowed in February • UK – Labour-market slack is lessening • United States – Inflation to stay subdued; housing to edge up • Market focus • Ju-yeol Lee is likely to be confirmed as the new Ban...

  • 13-Mar – IDR and THB rallies to stall near-term - Updated Wed March 12, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ minutes to shed more light on future policy stance • India – February WPI likely slipped below 5% • US – Retail sales likely picked up mildly as the weather improved • Market focus • We believe the IDR and TH...

  • 10-Mar – USD beached on the ‘island of stability’ - Updated Sun March 9, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ is likely to stay put after its last surprise announcement • Philippines – Export growth likely started 2014 on a firm footing • United Kingdom – 2014 output rises to meet growing domestic and external demand • ...

  • 07-Mar – China, commodities and currencies - Updated Thu March 6, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – Trade deficit to stay in single digits • Japan – C/A was likely in deficit again in January • US – February’s job report to show a hiring slowdown amid bad weather • Market focus • China’s February trade data to so...

  • 19-Feb – Kurodanomics ‘works’ again - Updated Tue February 18, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export orders likely declined due to seasonal effects • Euro area – Flash PMIs to boost confidence on recovery • Japan – Fast import growth but slower exports likely in January • Market focus • The BoJ surprised...

  • 17-Feb – Ironing out our AUD view - Updated Sun February 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA minutes likely to show comfort about the recovery • Japan – BoJ likely to maintain its pace of asset purchases • Turkey – CBRT expected to stay on hold • Market focus • We have cut our iron ore forecasts on ...

  • 14-Feb – USD strength to be delayed but not reversed - Updated Thu February 13, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Consumption and investment likely boosted Q4-2013 GDP • Singapore – Exports may remain positive despite potential distortion • Thailand – Political unrest likely took its toll on Q4-2013 GDP • Market focus • The US...

  • 10-Feb – India: Softer inflation amid growth pains - Updated Sun February 9, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – December export growth likely remained robust • Japan – December machinery orders likely slightly dropped m/m • US – Another lacklustre payroll print; but tapering is set to continue • Market focus • India Jan...

  • 07-Feb – Closing the gap in USD-AXJ - Updated Thu February 6, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Annual current account surplus likely shrank in 2013 • Taiwan – January trade data likely to boost producers’ confidence • US – January payrolls: We see strength, beyond the harsh weather • Market focus • Investo...

  • 24-Jan – RBI looks likely to extend the pause - Updated Thu January 23, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Annual trade deficit likely widened in 2013 • Argentina – A rude awakening • Germany – Ifo survey likely to reflect a sharp rise in business activity • Market focus • Significant reduction in headline CPI, weak gro...

  • 20-Jan – Turbulence in Turkey - Updated Sun January 19, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ likely to maintain stance at its first MPC meeting in 2014 • Australia – Inflation likely remained benign at +0.4% q/q in Q4-2013 • Germany – Upbeat ZEW investor confidence expected for H1-2014 • Market focus •...

  • 15-Jan – COPOM to maintain 50bps pace - Updated Tue January 14, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely remained at 5.8% in December • Japan – Machinery orders probably continued rising • United States – Two FOMC voters signal optimism on economy • Market focus • Surveys are divided 50/50...

  • 13-Jan – Fed vs. weather - Updated Sun January 12, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – Labour market expected to have remained stable • Japan – Current account likely stayed negative in November • UK – Inflation likely to have stabilised in December • Market focus • December NFP a cold shower, ...

  • 19-Dec – That giant sucking sound - Updated Thu December 19, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ likely to maintain the asset purchase programme • UK – Final print to confirm Q3 GDP growth at 0.8% • Colombia – BanRep expected to be on hold at 3.25%, but tone is dovish • Market focus • Surprising USD 10b...

  • 17-Dec – India – RBI to focus on managing inflation - Updated Mon December 16, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – November’s trade balance likely remained in deficit • Malaysia – Inflation may have increased very slightly in November • US – CPI likely tame; homebuilders’ confidence probably rose • Market focus • Uncomfortably ...

  • 13-Dec – Top rates trades for 2014 - Updated Thu December 12, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – CNH drops to a discount to CNY onshore • Japan – Q4 Tankan survey to show large manufacturers are upbeat • Philippines – Remittance growth likely slowed on base effects • Market focus • Our total-returns analysis ...

  • 09-Dec – Steady labour data, but the Fed is patient - Updated Sun December 8, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Export growth likely accelerated in October • Japan – Machinery orders, CGPI likely to show the impact of Abenomics • UK – Downtick in October IP, but set for better data ahead • Market focus • US labour mark...



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17-Apr – China: Growth momentum slowed in Q1

Top 3 data/events • Japan – Trade deficit likely remained given import re-acceleration • Taiwan – Overseas demand likely supported export orders • US – Yellen sticks to her script in NY speech • Market focus • China’s Q1 GDP slowed to 7.4% y/y as credit and housing sales decelerated...

In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.