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  • Asia data previews – 27 Feb – 6 Mar 2015 - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    • We expect the RBA and BNM to keep policy rates on hold; RBA may be a close call • Indonesia, Thailand, South Korea and the Philippines to release inflation data, with differing expectations • We see still-weak export growth in South Korea and Ma...

  • 25-Feb – CNY’s sheepish start to the Year of the Goat - Updated Tue February 24, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – January exports probably stayed soft • Kenya – CBK expected to keep rates on hold, despite deflation • Japan – Key January data to show recovery; inflation likely slowed • Market focus • China’s onshore FX marke...

  • Asia data previews – 20-27 February 2015 - Updated Thu February 19, 2015

    Low energy prices likely pushed inflation lower in Hong Kong, Japan; deflation to persist in Singapore • We expect Hong Kong’s Q4 GDP growth to have slowed, Japan’s January data to show a recovery • Taiwan, Thailand current account surpluses likel...

  • 18-Feb – Fed minutes likely to show tightening bias - Updated Tue February 17, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Trade deficit likely widened in January • Euro area – PMIs likely to tick down • Euro area – ECB releases meeting minutes for the first time ever • Market focus • The minutes’ tone should be balanced; but the under...

  • 17-Feb – The Asian central bank road-show - Updated Mon February 16, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ likely to stay put at the February meeting • Malaysia – Inflation likely to remain benign for now • Ghana – MPC expected to leave interest rates unchanged • Market focus • Asian central banks remain constructive...

  • 13-Feb – Growth, inflation and the BoJ - Updated Thu February 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – SLF expansion to ease seasonal liquidity volatility • India – January trade deficit seen narrowing further on low oil imports • Philippines – Remittances to be buoyed by improving US labour market • Market focus • J...

  • 11-Feb – Greece and the walk from ‘no’ to ‘yes’ - Updated Tue February 10, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – We see further PPI slowdown; a pick-up in machinery orders • India – CPI likely rose in January; we await revised CPI series • UK – Inflation Report to be scrutinised for rate-hike hints • Market focus • Greece will...

  • 06-Feb – Malaysia shows resilience - Updated Thu February 5, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – New GDP series likely to show slower economic activity in FY15 • Japan – Current account balance was likely positive in December 2014 • Taiwan – Trade surplus was likely boosted by a lower (oil) import bill • Marke...

  • Japan – More QQE is likely in 2015 - Updated Mon February 2, 2015

    We expect BoJ to expand QQE as early as April on increased risk to meeting its 2% inflation target • We lower our 2015 and 2016 headline inflation forecasts to 0.5% and 1.4%, respectively • Governor Kuroda appears to have tried to extend the time...

  • 29-Jan – If Singapore is the next Switzerland… - Updated Wed January 28, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – IP likely rose m/m in December; inflation likely slowed • South Korea – We expect industrial production to have improved in December • Euro area – CPI likely to move further into negative territory in January • Mark...



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25-Feb – CNY’s sheepish start to the Year...

Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – January exports probably stayed soft • Kenya – CBK expected to keep rates on hold, despite deflation • Japan – Key January data to show recovery; inflation likely slowed • Market focus • China’s onshore FX market reopens amid sustained onshore demand for...

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