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  • 31-Mar – BoJ’s Tankan likely to show a mixed picture - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • UK – We expect the manufacturing PMI to have improved further • South Korea – CPI inflation was likely low; trade surplus likely increased • China – Manufacturing sector likely remained sluggish in March • Market focus • Bo...

  • 23-Mar – CBC and BSP likely to stay neutral - Updated Sun March 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Vietnam – Q1 GDP and March data likely to show steady growth • UK – CPI likely eased further in February • US – Tepid core inflation to support the Fed’s wait-and-see stance • Market focus • CBC is likely to keep policy rat...

  • Q2 – The new, new normal - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    • Overview – In a challenging market environment, macroeconomic and policy divergence – the ‘new normal’ – remains the critical foundation of our updated views and forecasts, with the US economy, USD and US rates leading the way higher. This will ev...

  • 19-Mar – India – Stay Positive on IGBs; Neutral INR - Updated Wed March 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export order growth likely declined in February • Hong Kong – Holiday data distortion likely caused the CPI jump in February • UK – Official forecasts revised • Market focus • Indian banks’ year-end profit booking ...

  • 17-Mar – Further SSA currency weakness likely - Updated Mon March 16, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Trade data likely disappointed in February • Malaysia – We expect inflation to have slowed further in February • UK – We expect unanimous MPC and robust labour-market data • Market focus • USD-NGN is likely to adjus...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Embracing reforms - Updated Mon March 9, 2015

    • RGI rose 2.3% m/m in January, the fastest gain in eight months; index shows steady momentum • We see upside risk to USD-CNY in the near term; band widening is unlikely until at least H2-2015 • Shanghai FTZ spearheads capital account liberalisati...

  • 04-Mar – BNM policy stance supports receiving rates - Updated Tue March 3, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Retail and external trade likely contracted in October • UK – Bank of England will likely keep interest rates unchanged • Euro area – ECB will likely revise growth up and inflation down • Market focus • BNM is l...

  • 16-Feb – Singapore budget to address needs ahead - Updated Sun February 15, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – BoK likely to keep the policy rate on hold • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged • UK – CPI likely to continue its downward trend • Market focus • We expect Singapore’s 2015 budget to tackle econo...

  • UK – Bullish BoE looks through oil-driven deflation - Updated Thu February 12, 2015

    The BoE sees inflation above target by 2017 as wage pressures build, despite near-term deflation risks • We lower our 2015 inflation forecast, but see medium-term inflation risks triggering a rate hike in Q4-2015 • With a hung parliament increas...

  • 11-Feb – Greece and the walk from ‘no’ to ‘yes’ - Updated Tue February 10, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – We see further PPI slowdown; a pick-up in machinery orders • India – CPI likely rose in January; we await revised CPI series • UK – Inflation Report to be scrutinised for rate-hike hints • Market focus • Greece will...



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31-Mar – BoJ’s Tankan likely to show a...

Top 3 data/events • UK – We expect the manufacturing PMI to have improved further • South Korea – CPI inflation was likely low; trade surplus likely increased • China – Manufacturing sector likely remained sluggish in March • Market focus • BoJ’s Tankan likely indicates improving...

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