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  • 19-May – Fed still looking over the rainbow - Updated Mon May 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export orders likely declined; C/A surplus at record high • UK – We expect the BoE decision remained unanimous • Turkey – CBRT will most likely keep rates unchanged • Market focus • Yellen’s speech on Friday is lik...

  • 18-May – MPC to focus on Nigeria FX decision - Updated Sun May 17, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Euro area – CPI likely to match flash at 0.0% y/y • UK – CPI inflation likely turned negative in April • Mexico – Banxico biding its time • Market focus • Nigeria MPC to announce monetary policy decision on Tuesday 19 May ...

  • 11-May – BoE to stay on course, IR in focus - Updated Sun May 10, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – April inflation likely dipped below 5%; March IIP was likely tepid • Philippines – Export growth likely fell for a fourth consecutive month • Asian central banks – Focus is again on trade-weighted exchange rate • M...

  • UK election results – Initial thoughts - Updated Fri May 8, 2015

    Event: With 539 constituencies having declared, the Conservative Party has significantly outperformed, winning 246 seats and gaining 19 seats in these constituencies compared with the 2010 election. This net gain would imply 325 seats if the Conserv...

  • 07-May – US payrolls likely soldiered on - Updated Wed May 6, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – April trade data probably will show a modest export recovery • UK – We expect the BoE to keep the bank rate unchanged • Germany – Industrial production likely ticked up in March • Market focus • We see April payroll...

  • 27-Apr – Weak US Q1 growth may stump the Fed - Updated Sun April 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Trade balance likely improved on sluggish import growth • Japan – Retail sales probably weakened y/y in March on a high base • UK – Consumption to drive growth, investment under pressure • Market focus • We t...

  • 21-Apr – CBRT – Monetary policy consternation - Updated Mon April 20, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q1 inflation was likely lower at 1.3% y/y • Singapore – Inflation likely decreased further in March • UK – BoE minutes likely to show unanimous rate decision in April • Market focus • We think the CBRT will leav...

  • 16-Apr – Greece on a tightrope - Updated Wed April 15, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – NODX growth likely remained muted in March • Euro area – CPI likely to match flash at -0.1% y/y • UK – Labour-market slack likely diminished further • Market focus • Greek government and the ‘institutions’ are ...

  • 13-Apr – We expect no BI policy surprises - Updated Sun April 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China - We expect credit growth to have declined again in March • UK – CPI likely became negative in March • Euro area – Industrial production likely registered modest growth • Market focus • We expect Bank Indonesia (BI) t...



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19-May – Fed still looking over the rainbow

Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export orders likely declined; C/A surplus at record high • UK – We expect the BoE decision remained unanimous • Turkey – CBRT will most likely keep rates unchanged • Market focus • Yellen’s speech on Friday is likely to take precedence over the FOMC meeting...

In Media

Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.