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  • 21-Apr – CBRT – Monetary policy consternation - Updated Mon April 20, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q1 inflation was likely lower at 1.3% y/y • Singapore – Inflation likely decreased further in March • UK – BoE minutes likely to show unanimous rate decision in April • Market focus • We think the CBRT will leav...

  • 16-Apr – Greece on a tightrope - Updated Wed April 15, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – NODX growth likely remained muted in March • Euro area – CPI likely to match flash at -0.1% y/y • UK – Labour-market slack likely diminished further • Market focus • Greek government and the ‘institutions’ are ...

  • 13-Apr – We expect no BI policy surprises - Updated Sun April 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China - We expect credit growth to have declined again in March • UK – CPI likely became negative in March • Euro area – Industrial production likely registered modest growth • Market focus • We expect Bank Indonesia (BI) t...

  • UK – Going to the polls - Updated Thu April 9, 2015

    You are cordially invited to join us for an exclusive conference call presentation on Monday 13 April 2015 at 15:00 SG/HK (07:00 GMT) and 15:00 London BST (14:00 GMT/10:00 NY/22:00 SG/HK) with: Session 1: • Sarah Hewin, Chief Economist, Europe ...

  • 08-Apr – BoK will likely keep the base rate on hold - Updated Tue April 7, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • UK – We expect the BoE to keep the Bank Rate unchanged • Germany – Industrial production likely rose in February • US – Trilogy of Yellen-Fischer-Dudley speeches make minutes look old • Market focus • BoK will likely lower ...

  • UK – Going to the polls - Updated Tue April 7, 2015

    Opinion polls point to a high chance of a minority government after the 7 May general election • 2010’s hung parliament saw the largest decline in GBP of any election since 1979 • Political uncertainty and the market’s view that UK rates are on ho...

  • 31-Mar – BoJ’s Tankan likely to show a mixed picture - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • UK – We expect the manufacturing PMI to have improved further • South Korea – CPI inflation was likely low; trade surplus likely increased • China – Manufacturing sector likely remained sluggish in March • Market focus • Bo...

  • 23-Mar – CBC and BSP likely to stay neutral - Updated Sun March 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Vietnam – Q1 GDP and March data likely to show steady growth • UK – CPI likely eased further in February • US – Tepid core inflation to support the Fed’s wait-and-see stance • Market focus • CBC is likely to keep policy rat...

  • Q2 – The new, new normal - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    • Overview – In a challenging market environment, macroeconomic and policy divergence – the ‘new normal’ – remains the critical foundation of our updated views and forecasts, with the US economy, USD and US rates leading the way higher. This will ev...

  • 19-Mar – India – Stay Positive on IGBs; Neutral INR - Updated Wed March 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Export order growth likely declined in February • Hong Kong – Holiday data distortion likely caused the CPI jump in February • UK – Official forecasts revised • Market focus • Indian banks’ year-end profit booking ...



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21-Apr – CBRT – Monetary policy consternation

Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q1 inflation was likely lower at 1.3% y/y • Singapore – Inflation likely decreased further in March • UK – BoE minutes likely to show unanimous rate decision in April • Market focus • We think the CBRT will leave interest rates unchanged • Monetary...

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