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  • ECB impact on emerging markets: First take - Updated Thu January 22, 2015

    • You are cordially invited to join us for an exclusive conference call presentation at 9:00 PM GMT on Thursday 22 January 2015 (with Q&A) with: • Thomas Kikis, Head of Global Corporate Sales, Americas (host) • Sarah Hewin, Head of UK and Euro...

  • SC FIRST – Buy 5Y THB bonds vs pay 5Y swaps - Updated Thu July 17, 2014

    • New allocations charts show ongoing short-covering that will continue to support Thai bonds and FX • Direction signal back to positive: add new long 5Y THB bonds vs pay 5Y swaps • Spread signal shifts down to neutral, supporting low-yield bonds ...

  • El Niño – Blowing hot and cold on food markets - Updated Wed May 14, 2014

    • Risks of an El Niño event have risen, with potentially damaging consequences for some crop yields • Our studies show global CPO stocks to be the most vulnerable to an El Niño event in the 2014/15 season • Such an event could elevate inflation ...

  • Global trade unbundled - Updated Wed April 9, 2014

    Expanding supply chains and increased openness drove rapid trade growth in past decades • But trade has been weak since the 2008-09 crisis; there is talk of a structural slowdown • We believe the outlook is improving and trade will soon grow fas...

  • Estimating EM local fund beta - Updated Fri November 1, 2013

    • We previously analysed aggregate foreign positioning in local currency in SC FIRST, assessed our own data sources for a more accurate fund-flow analysis, and generated insights on foreign-investor heterogeneity • We can now generate insights on d...



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