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  • 10-Dec – Our currency, your problem - Updated Tue December 9, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Korea – BoK is expected to keep the base rate on hold • Indonesia – We expect the BI rate to be unchanged in December • The Philippines – BSP set to keep policy rates on hold • Market focus • USD strength in H1-2015; sign...

  • 25-Sep – Implications of Indonesia’s fuel-price hike - Updated Wed September 24, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – IP growth likely remained lacklustre in August • Japan – Core inflation probably stayed within the BoJ’s comfort zone • US – Durable goods orders likely plunged on aircraft orders reversal • Market focus • Mark...

  • 13-Aug – BoK: Jumping on the bandwagon - Updated Tue August 12, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – July WPI likely to move lower • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in August • US – Headline retail sales likely soft on lower car sales and gas prices • Market focus • The BoK will likely cut the base...

  • 31-Jul – Fed policy: Boiling the frog - Updated Wed July 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – Exports likely picked up, CPI inflation stayed benign • China – We expect a higher official PMI reading for July • Indonesia – Inflation likely accelerated on a m/m basis in July • Market focus • The FOMC del...

  • 18-Jul – Indonesia: And now for the official results - Updated Thu July 17, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Strong export orders data expected to boost confidence • Hong Kong – Inflation likely continued to ease… slowly • UST market – Focus returns to geopolitical risks • Market focus • Both candidates in Indonesia’...

  • 08-Jul – Countdown to Indonesia’s election - Updated Mon July 7, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Participation rate likely fell to 64.5%, unemployment at 5.8% • Japan – Machinery orders likely rebounded; CGPI remained stable • US – June FOMC minutes: The Fed seems in no rush to change course • Market focu...

  • 04-Jul – China FX reform and the Beijing S&ED - Updated Thu July 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – A close presidential race • Taiwan – Exports likely rose; we see upside risk to inflation • US – Job creation strengthens in June; earnings growth remains stable • Market focus • Next week’s China-US S&ED w...

  • 01-May – TRYing to find value in carry and vol - Updated Wed April 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Stable inflation, a positive trade surplus expected • Japan – March jobless rate likely edged higher on new graduates • US – April payrolls to be more of the same: no break-out • Market focus • FX volatility re...

  • 31-Jan – AXJ FX to weaken on China slowdown fears - Updated Thu January 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Inflation likely to have accelerated m/m in January • Thailand – Upside risks to inflation • US – January’s Chicago PMI: A taste of things to come in Q1 • Market focus • We forecast China January PMI manufacturi...

  • 31-Oct – AXJ currencies to strengthen further - Updated Wed October 30, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – Manufacturing PMI likely saw a marginal improvement • Indonesia – Headline inflation likely remained low m/m in October • US – A neutral FOMC awaits better data before pulling the trigger • Market focus • AXJ curren...



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