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  • 31-Jan – AXJ FX to weaken on China slowdown fears - Updated Thu January 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Inflation likely to have accelerated m/m in January • Thailand – Upside risks to inflation • US – January’s Chicago PMI: A taste of things to come in Q1 • Market focus • We forecast China January PMI manufacturi...

  • 31-Oct – AXJ currencies to strengthen further - Updated Wed October 30, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – Manufacturing PMI likely saw a marginal improvement • Indonesia – Headline inflation likely remained low m/m in October • US – A neutral FOMC awaits better data before pulling the trigger • Market focus • AXJ curren...

  • 30-Aug – EM reserve adequacy - Updated Thu August 29, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – August headline inflation likely slowed m/m, picked up y/y • South Korea – Headline inflation, exports likely continued to rise • US – Expected increase in Chicago PMI would bode well for ISM survey • Market foc...

  • 02-Nov-12 – It’s the Electoral College that matters - Updated Thu November 1, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect a robust Q3 growth reading • Taiwan – CPI was likely above 2% for a fourth straight month • United States – The labour market still has a long way to go • Market focus • While polls show a tied pop...

  • 01-Oct-12 – Inflation momentum in Asia - Updated Sun September 30, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – A close call; we marginally favour a rate cut • Vietnam – Moody’s cuts Vietnam’s rating to B2; outlook stable • United States – ISM manufacturing to remain tepid • Market focus • Asia’s inflation is likely to ...

  • 13-Aug-12 – Euro area enters ‘double-dip’ recession - Updated Sun August 12, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • India – High base effect likely masked price pressure • Indonesia – Widening current account deficit prompts FASBI rate hike • United States – July retail sales may have done better than expected • Market focus • Q2 GDP da...



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In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.