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  • 21-Oct – And now the data deluge - Updated Sun October 20, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q3 inflation was likely still benign at 1.8% y/y • Singapore – Inflation pulled lower by high base, FX appreciation • South Africa – Medium Term Budget in focus • Market focus • September payrolls will be releas...

  • 23-Sep – India – The RBI’s hawkish twist - Updated Sun September 22, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Germany – Business optimum persists in the run-up to the election • Nigeria – FX policy in focus at MPC meeting • US – Consumer confidence likely eroded; home prices on the rise • Market focus • Hawkish RBI is likely to inc...

  • 26-Aug – Implications of a decline in FX reserves - Updated Sun August 25, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • South Africa – Q2 GDP likely to show recovery, output gap persists • Germany – Survey data point to an ongoing recovery • US – Core durable goods orders likely picked up in July • Market focus • Reserve managers have been ...

  • 02-May – RBI set to cut the repo rate - Updated Wed May 1, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • South Africa – PMI expected to remain sub-50 • UK – April services PMI to improve • US – Recent weak data leads us to lower our NFP forecast • Market focus • RBI to cut the repo rate by 25bps to 7.25%; policy guidance likel...

  • 01-Nov-12 – The search for carry trades in EM - Updated Wed October 31, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Unemployment remains low • Uganda – Monetary policy easing to continue, with a 100bps rate cut expected • US – ISM set to improve, but progress remains slow • Market focus • QE3 continues to encourage foreign in...

  • 24-Oct-2012 – Defending South Africa’s rating - Updated Tue October 23, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Industrial production is likely to have been lacklustre • Philippines – We expect BSP to cut rates by 25bps on 25 October • US – After September’s FOMC fireworks, we see little spark in October • Market focus • ...

  • 17 Sep 12 – G10 forecast revisions: A tale of two CBs - Updated Sun September 16, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Look for dovish hints in RBA minutes • Nigeria – CBN to keep rates on hold on 18 September • United States – Slow improvement in manufacturing • Market focus • We are revising our G10 FX outlook in the wake of ...

  • 12-June-12 – Spectre of 17 June casts its shadow - Updated Mon June 11, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – BoT to keep interest rates on hold • Ghana – BoG expected to hike another 100bps • United States – Small business to be range-bound in 2012 • Market focus • The Greek elections on 17 June continue to pose a threa...



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In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.