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  • Offshore Renminbi – Embracing reforms - Updated Mon March 9, 2015

    • RGI rose 2.3% m/m in January, the fastest gain in eight months; index shows steady momentum • We see upside risk to USD-CNY in the near term; band widening is unlikely until at least H2-2015 • Shanghai FTZ spearheads capital account liberalisati...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Another year of progress ahead - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    • 2014 was another strong year for CNH market development, with the RGI rising 53% • We outline our top 10 calls for 2015 for the Renminbi and its internationalisation • Formosa bonds are set to receive more policy support; KRW-CNY direct trading ...

  • 18-Nov – Fed: Wait a minute - Updated Mon November 17, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – CPI likely normalised in October after September’s jump • Japan – We expect the BoJ to stay put after October’s surprise • UK – Bank of England minutes likely to be dovish • Market focus • Fed minutes may be dov...

  • 26-Aug – The surprising strength of the SGD - Updated Mon August 25, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – July LEI index expected to show recovery has gained momentum • Hong Kong – Leading offshore Renminbi position unfazed • US – Durable goods may have taken off; watch capital goods data • Market focus • Singapore...

  • 20-Aug – Fed: Wait a minute - Updated Tue August 19, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Steady inflation when distortion is removed • South Africa – Inflation expected to decelerate y/y • Euro area – PMIs likely to inch lower • Market focus • FOMC minutes may be more hawkish than the statement due...

  • Offshore RMB – A pragmatic view from onshore - Updated Thu August 7, 2014

    • RGI m/m growth was the slowest in 20 months, reflecting lingering negative effects from prior months • Survey shows little rebound in CNH activity; onshore companies are increasing usage • Shanghai FTZ is off to a good start; many respondents ar...

  • 18-Jul – Indonesia: And now for the official results - Updated Thu July 17, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Strong export orders data expected to boost confidence • Hong Kong – Inflation likely continued to ease… slowly • UST market – Focus returns to geopolitical risks • Market focus • Both candidates in Indonesia’...

  • Offshore RMB – Survey suggests steady RGI growth - Updated Wed May 7, 2014

    RGI rose 9.4% m/m in March, the fastest since Sep-11, despite slowing China growth and FX uncertainty • Survey suggests CNH growth will remain solid; respondents want more cross-border Renminbi channels • Offshore companies prefer to settle trade...

  • 01-Apr – UST volatility and EM catch-up - Updated Mon March 31, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – We expect the PMI to remain above the 50 threshold • Europe – New offshore Renminbi centres set to get a boost • US – ISM data is likely to thaw gradually • Market focus • The sharp fall in UST implied volatili...

  • 14-Jan – Raising PHP to medium-term Overweight - Updated Mon January 13, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – Policy address to focus on tackling poverty • India – December WPI expected to show an improvement • United States – Retail sales data likely moderated in December • Market focus • Upcoming Philippine remittanc...



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