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  • Asia data previews – 17-24 April 2015 - Updated Thu April 16, 2015

    Inflation likely eased in Australia, Hong Kong, New Zealand and Singapore, but not in Malaysia IP growth in Singapore and Taiwan may have weakened on base effects and subdued export orders Korea GDP growth likely remained weak in Q1 on slow cons...

  • Sri Lanka – More rate cuts to come - Updated Wed April 15, 2015

    CBSL, in a surprise move, cut the SDFR and SDLR 50bps each to 6.0% and 7.5%, respectively • March 2015 inflation was at an all-time low of 0.1%; we expect average inflation below 2% in 2015 • Growth-inflation mix likely to determine near-term rat...

  • Asia economy trackers – Slight improvement vs Q4 - Updated Fri April 10, 2015

    Trackers signalling stronger Q1 GDP growth outnumber those signalling weaker growth • Trackers for China, Australia and Japan suggest a soft performance in Q1-2015 • Trackers for India, South Korea, Thailand and Hong Kong indicate stronger growth ...

  • Asia data previews – 3-10 April 2015 - Updated Fri April 3, 2015

    BoJ, RBA and RBI are likely to keep policy rates unchanged but ease further in Q2 • We also expect BoK to keep policy rates on hold for now and act on future data movements • China’s inflation and credit growth could ease, allowing room for furthe...

  • Asia data previews – 27 Mar-3 Apr 2015 - Updated Fri March 27, 2015

    We expect mixed industrial production data for Japan, South Korea and Vietnam • CPI inflation in South Korea, Indonesia and Thailand likely remained low amid low global inflation • Manufacturing PMI likely improved slightly in China, stayed in con...

  • SC FIRST – Caution over, as Fed not impatient to hike - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    Foreign investor sentiment towards emerging markets has improved after the 18 March FOMC meeting EM funds remain overweight duration and still favour Indonesia, but are returning to Malaysia EM/DM yield spread to be range-bound as foreign investor...

  • Asia data previews – 20-27 March 2015 - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    Inflation in Japan and Singapore likely slowed further in February We expect central banks in the Philippines and Taiwan to keep policy rates on hold for now Vietnam’s Q1 data to show steady growth, driven by solid FDI and exports...

  • Asia data previews – 6-13 March 2015 - Updated Fri March 6, 2015

    China’s growth indices likely to continue the downtrend; deflationary pressures are rising • India’s CPI inflation likely stayed benign in February, fuelling expectations of more rate cuts • We expect the RBNZ, BoK and BoT to keep policy rates on ...

  • Sri Lanka – No surprises from the CBSL - Updated Tue February 24, 2015

    • The CBSL maintains the status quo on policy rates at its February meeting • While January inflation of 3.2% y/y was higher than our estimates, we expect inflation to remain benign • Private credit growth improved for the sixth straight month to ...

  • Asia data previews – 13-20 February 2015 - Updated Fri February 13, 2015

    Major Asian markets will be closed late next week for the Lunar New Year holidays We expect better Q4-2014 GDP results from Japan, Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand than in Q3 Bank Indonesia and Bank of Korea are likely to leave policy rates unchanged...

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