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  • Sri Lanka – No surprises from the CBSL - Updated Tue February 24, 2015

    • The CBSL maintains the status quo on policy rates at its February meeting • While January inflation of 3.2% y/y was higher than our estimates, we expect inflation to remain benign • Private credit growth improved for the sixth straight month to ...

  • Asia data previews – 13-20 February 2015 - Updated Fri February 13, 2015

    Major Asian markets will be closed late next week for the Lunar New Year holidays We expect better Q4-2014 GDP results from Japan, Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand than in Q3 Bank Indonesia and Bank of Korea are likely to leave policy rates unchanged...

  • Asia data previews – 6-13 February 2015 - Updated Fri February 6, 2015

    Lunar New Year holiday distortion likely to support China’s January export data • We expect more uncertainty than usual for India’s GDP following changes in how it is measured • The Philippines’ central bank (BSP) is likely to leave policy unchang...

  • Asia data previews – 30 Jan-6 Feb 2015 - Updated Fri January 30, 2015

    China’s manufacturing PMI likely to improve but stay weak; Lunar New Year timing helps • We expect India’s RBI to ease rates by another 25bps, contrary to market expectations • Australia’s RBA is likely to revert to a dovish stance, but keep its p...

  • Sri Lanka – Upholding pre-election promises - Updated Fri January 30, 2015

    • Interim 2015 budget focuses on lowering cost of living; commitment to fiscal consolidation remains • Government expenditure shifts towards recurrent spending; public investment targets cut • New taxes introduced on the corporate sector and wealt...

  • Asia data previews – 26-30 Jan 2015 - Updated Fri January 23, 2015

    We expect the central banks of Thailand, Malaysia and New Zealand to keep policy rates unchanged • GDP growth in the Philippines, Taiwan and India is likely to have improved in Q4 compared to Q3 • Export growth likely to improve in Japan, Hong Kon...

  • Hedging strategies and solutions post ECB - Updated Thu January 22, 2015

    You are cordially invited to join us for an exclusive conference call presentation on Friday 23 January 2015 with 2 sessions: (1) Asia – 9:00AM SG/HK time and (2) Europe – 09:00AM London/GMT with: • Sarah Hewin, Head of UK and Europe Macro Research...

  • Sri Lanka – Inflation trajectory to improve further - Updated Thu January 22, 2015

    New administration cuts fuel prices substantially, fulfilling a key electoral promise • Inflation trajectory looks even more benign now; this could raise expectations of a policy rate cut • We maintain our view of no rate change due to external ...

  • Asia macro trackers – Exports boost NE Asia growth - Updated Fri January 9, 2015

    External demand is improving, particularly for Japan and China; exports to the US are ‘heating up’ • Japan’s GDP tracker suggests a respite after two bad quarters; South Korea’s points to a slowdown • We expect further policy rate cuts in China an...

  • Thought Leadership Compendium - Updated Thu January 8, 2015

    Global trade – It’s only resting • Productivity – Increasingly critical as the demographic dividend fades • Inequality – Widening within, but narrowing between, countries • Financial inclusion – Its potential as a poverty fighter • ASEAN – G...

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