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  • Asia data previews – 24-29 May 2015 - Updated Fri May 22, 2015

    Inflation was likely muted across Asia in April; we expect April IP to have rebounded in Japan and Korea • India FY15 GDP may be lower than expected at 7.4% y/y despite first quarterly C/A surplus in five years • Likely strong Q1 GDP growth and e...

  • Asia data previews – 15-22 May 2015 - Updated Fri May 15, 2015

    • The external sector likely weighed on Thailand’s Q1 GDP while supporting Japan’s Q1 GDP • We expect BI to cut the policy rate by 25bps in May and the BoJ to remain on hold • Inflation for April is likely to have edged lower in Hong Kong and acce...

  • 08-May – Greece: Low breakthrough prospects - Updated Thu May 7, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India –The SIGMA signal is bearish; we remain Positive on IGBs • Sri Lanka – CBSL is likely to keep rates on hold in May • China – Inflation likely remained subdued in April • Market focus • Expectations for a breakthrough ...

  • UK election: Initial thoughts - Updated Wed May 6, 2015

    You are cordially invited to join us for an exclusive conference call presentation on Friday 8 May 2015 with 2 sessions: (1) Asia – 16:00 SG/HK (08:00 GMT) and (2) New York – 10:00AM (14:00 GMT) with: • Sarah Hewin, Chief Economist, Europe (Host, s...

  • Asia economy trackers – Rising C/A surpluses - Updated Mon April 27, 2015

    Current account surpluses are rising across Asia, but they are led by falling imports Regional inflation remains low, with even food prices tapering Monetary conditions tighten as real interest rates rise, room for easing remains...

  • Bangladesh – Invest in bonds - Updated Mon April 20, 2015

    We undertake a comparative macroeconomic analysis of Bangladesh and 13 similarly rated peers • Bangladesh’s GDP growth should remain robust and sustainable over the next decade • BDT is the most stable currency in the peer group, lending some pred...

  • Asia data previews – 17-24 April 2015 - Updated Thu April 16, 2015

    Inflation likely eased in Australia, Hong Kong, New Zealand and Singapore, but not in Malaysia IP growth in Singapore and Taiwan may have weakened on base effects and subdued export orders Korea GDP growth likely remained weak in Q1 on slow cons...

  • Sri Lanka – More rate cuts to come - Updated Wed April 15, 2015

    CBSL, in a surprise move, cut the SDFR and SDLR 50bps each to 6.0% and 7.5%, respectively • March 2015 inflation was at an all-time low of 0.1%; we expect average inflation below 2% in 2015 • Growth-inflation mix likely to determine near-term rat...

  • Asia economy trackers – Slight improvement vs Q4 - Updated Fri April 10, 2015

    Trackers signalling stronger Q1 GDP growth outnumber those signalling weaker growth • Trackers for China, Australia and Japan suggest a soft performance in Q1-2015 • Trackers for India, South Korea, Thailand and Hong Kong indicate stronger growth ...

  • Asia data previews – 3-10 April 2015 - Updated Fri April 3, 2015

    BoJ, RBA and RBI are likely to keep policy rates unchanged but ease further in Q2 • We also expect BoK to keep policy rates on hold for now and act on future data movements • China’s inflation and credit growth could ease, allowing room for furthe...



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08-May – Greece: Low breakthrough prospects

Top 3 data/events • India –The SIGMA signal is bearish; we remain Positive on IGBs • Sri Lanka – CBSL is likely to keep rates on hold in May • China – Inflation likely remained subdued in April • Market focus • Expectations for a breakthrough at the Eurogroup meeting on 11 May are...

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