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  • 02-Mar – Question for the RBA is not if, but when - Updated Sun March 1, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea − CPI inflation likely picked up on holiday shopping • Singapore − Subdued recovery in PMI expected • Taiwan − Export orders likely gained on strong tech demand • Market focus • RBA likely to keep rates unchange...

  • 10-Feb – BSP is in no rush to change policy stance - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect Q4 GDP to have slowed versus previous quarters • Singapore – Take profit on pay 2Y IRS vs 2Y SGS • Australia – We expect muted job creation for January • Market focus • We expect the BSP to keep its pol...

  • 05-Feb – Oil prices make US payroll call slippery - Updated Wed February 4, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA’s Statement on Monetary Policy likely to be bearish • Malaysia – Weaker MYR likely supported the trade balance • China – January trade data to benefit from holiday distortion • Market focus • We predict payr...

  • 04-Feb – More to come from the Tasman twins - Updated Tue February 3, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – A new base year for GDP • Philippines – Inflation likely eased further in January • UK – Bank of England will likely leave the Bank Rate unchanged • Market focus • RBA turns dovish from neutral, pointing to like...

  • 02-Feb – India: RBI likely to cut rates - Updated Sun February 1, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia − RBA likely to revert to a dovish stance, without cutting rates • South Korea − CPI inflation likely picked up moderately in January • US – ISM likely moderated on global headwinds, oil price rout • Market focus ...

  • 27-Jan – BoT to keep rates on hold - Updated Mon January 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep policy rates unchanged • Australia – Q4-2014 inflation was likely lower at 1.8% y/y • US – Fed in ‘hibernation’; statement should repeat ‘patience’ • Market focus • We reiterate our call tha...

  • 14-Jan – Korea: All eyes on BoK policy direction - Updated Tue January 13, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect the BI rate to be unchanged in January • Japan – Machinery orders likely rebounded; PPI likely slowed further • Australia – Job creation was likely muted in December • Market focus • We expect the BoK ...

  • 08-Jan – ASEAN reforms as oil prices fall - Updated Wed January 7, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – External and retail trade likely contracted in November • Philippines – We expect good, but not great, export growth • Germany – Industrial production likely increased at a steady rate • Market focus • Indonesia...

  • 09-Dec – ECB TLTRO tantrum could trigger QE - Updated Mon December 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Job creation was likely weak in November • China – Continued drop in producer prices raises concerns • Korea – Hold onto the long 10Y KTB trade; we revise up the stop-loss • Market focus • The 11 December TLTRO ...

  • 02-Dec – The oil slick hits commodity currencies - Updated Mon December 1, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • NEA FX revisions following OPEC’s November meeting • Nigeria – Revisiting our USD-NGN forecasts • USD-COP FX forecasts revised • Market focus • Following the OPEC meeting, we revise down our forecasts for the AUD, NZD and C...

  • 01-Dec – RBI likely to acknowledge easing inflation - Updated Sun November 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to reiterate a ‘period of stability in interest rates’ • South Korea – CPI inflation likely continued to fall in November • Malaysia – We revise up USD-MYR forecasts after the OPEC meeting • Market fo...

  • 17-Nov – Quietly resilient Taiwan - Updated Sun November 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA minutes likely to reiterate a ‘period of stability in rates’ • UK – We expect subdued inflationary pressures for some time • United States – IP data: Don’t take the ISM surveys at face value • Market focus •...

  • 05-Nov – Aussie labour-market uncertainty persists - Updated Tue November 4, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ minutes in focus after its surprise easing • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep rates unchanged • Taiwan – Tech exports likely rose on year-end holiday sales demand • Market focus • The Australian Bureau of Stat...

  • 03-Nov – The currency wars are spreading - Updated Sun November 2, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • RBA likely to reiterate a ‘period of stability in interest rates’ • Benign CPI inflation expected, even with recovery • US – ISM survey likely to moderate, but remain healthy • Market focus • We revise our USD-JPY forecasts...

  • 21-Oct – The agony and the ecstasy - Updated Mon October 20, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Inflation likely edged up q/q in Australia and New Zealand • Japan – Exports likely rebounded moderately in September • Canada – Bank of Canada to hold policy rate • Market focus • The BoE’s October meeting min...

  • 06-Oct – BoJ: How long is ‘about two years’? - Updated Sun October 5, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to reiterate a ‘period of stability in interest rates’ • Indonesia – BI likely to keep rates unchanged in October • Taiwan – Inflation likely eased and exports gained on global demand • Market focus ...

  • 01-Oct – Currency wars revisited - Updated Tue September 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – External trade likely improved in August • Singapore – September PMI likely remained subdued • US – ISM likely moderated to a still-robust level • Market focus • The ECB’s asset purchase programmes will be detai...

  • 09-Sep – The Scotland referendum: Value in vol - Updated Mon September 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – CGPI likely slowed; machinery orders likely rose again m/m • Turkey – Q2 GDP will most likely point to a slowdown • Australia – Strong job creation unlikely to dent the unemployment rate • Market focus • The market...

  • 02-Sep – Indonesia: Focus on the fundamentals - Updated Mon September 1, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q2 GDP growth was likely in line with trend, at 3.1% y/y • Euro area and UK – Composite PMIs likely to have fallen • Turkey – CPI inflation likely to continue to disappoint • Market focus • Indonesia’s inflati...

  • 01-Sep – BoJ unlikely to act after July’s soft patch - Updated Sun August 31, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to reiterate a ‘period of stability in interest rates’ • Singapore – PMI likely to point to positive manufacturing growth ahead • US – ISM manufacturing PMI likely little changed; upside risk • Market...



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02-Mar – Question for the RBA is not if,...

Top 3 data/events • South Korea − CPI inflation likely picked up on holiday shopping • Singapore − Subdued recovery in PMI expected • Taiwan − Export orders likely gained on strong tech demand • Market focus • RBA likely to keep rates unchanged at 2.25% in the March MPC meeting...

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