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  • 09-Apr – China – More stimulus needed - Updated Tue April 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate was likely 6.0% in March • Malaysia – External demand likely supported IP in February • UK – BoE may stay on hold while MPC digests flurry of positive data • Market focus • Policy is shifting ...

  • 02-Apr – Deflating ECB rate-cut expectations - Updated Tue April 1, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – We forecast continued strength in retail and external trade • Ghana – The Bank of Ghana likely to keep prime rate on hold at 18% • Brazil – COPOM expected to hike once more • Market focus • The ECB will likely c...

  • 31-Mar – Reserve Bank of India likely to stay on hold - Updated Sun March 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – PMI may show further moderation • South Korea – CPI inflation expected to be benign, even with recovery • Australia – RBA likely to maintain a ‘period of stability’ in rates • Market focus • Sharp correction in in...

  • 05-Mar – Keeping the faith at the ECB - Updated Tue March 4, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – We look for ongoing strength in retail sales and international trade • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep rates steady • US – Watch ADP and ISM service PMI for hints on Friday’s NFP report • Market focus • We exp...

  • 04-Mar – Spill-over from the Ukraine crisis - Updated Mon March 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q4 GDP growth likely remained below trend at 0.7% q/q • Canada – Bank of Canada likely to hold the policy rate at 1% • Chile – Getting ahead of the curve • Market focus • Asia, Africa and the Middle East have li...

  • 03-Mar – CNH rates to climb amid FX volatility - Updated Sun March 2, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to maintain neutral stance, keep rates unchanged • Europe – Central banks look to activity data • United States – ISM manufacturing PMI likely inched up in February • Market focus • USD-CNY intra-day ...

  • 17-Feb – Ironing out our AUD view - Updated Sun February 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA minutes likely to show comfort about the recovery • Japan – BoJ likely to maintain its pace of asset purchases • Turkey – CBRT expected to stay on hold • Market focus • We have cut our iron ore forecasts on ...

  • 12-Feb – US: Yellen sings from Bernanke’s songbook - Updated Tue February 11, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely rose to a 4.5-year high of 5.9% • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in February • South Korea – The policy rate is likely to be kept on hold at 2.5% • Market focus • There...

  • 20-Jan – Turbulence in Turkey - Updated Sun January 19, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ likely to maintain stance at its first MPC meeting in 2014 • Australia – Inflation likely remained benign at +0.4% q/q in Q4-2013 • Germany – Upbeat ZEW investor confidence expected for H1-2014 • Market focus •...

  • 15-Jan – COPOM to maintain 50bps pace - Updated Tue January 14, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely remained at 5.8% in December • Japan – Machinery orders probably continued rising • United States – Two FOMC voters signal optimism on economy • Market focus • Surveys are divided 50/50...



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09-Apr – China – More stimulus needed

Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate was likely 6.0% in March • Malaysia – External demand likely supported IP in February • UK – BoE may stay on hold while MPC digests flurry of positive data • Market focus • Policy is shifting towards pro-growth stance on weak data, with...

In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.