Choose the category below to
refine article list
FX
Trade Ideas

Regions

Search Results

Results: 1 - 20 of 107 for 
Display 
 per page
Sort result by 
  • Q2 – The new, new normal - Updated Fri March 20, 2015

    • Overview – In a challenging market environment, macroeconomic and policy divergence – the ‘new normal’ – remains the critical foundation of our updated views and forecasts, with the US economy, USD and US rates leading the way higher. This will ev...

  • 11-Mar – India: A data-heavy week - Updated Tue March 10, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely rose again to a 13-year high • South Korea – We expect the BoK to remain on hold • Euro area – Industrial production likely registered modest growth • Market focus • February CPI likel...

  • Iron ore – Supply to realign with demand - Updated Mon March 9, 2015

    • New global iron ore supply will likely fall by half in 2015; reduced capex to limit medium-term supply • China’s iron ore demand and imports will likely grow more slowly than in 2014 but should stay high • We lower our 2015 iron ore price fore...

  • 04-Mar – BNM policy stance supports receiving rates - Updated Tue March 3, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Retail and external trade likely contracted in October • UK – Bank of England will likely keep interest rates unchanged • Euro area – ECB will likely revise growth up and inflation down • Market focus • BNM is l...

  • Australia – RBA leaves cash rate unchanged at 2.25% - Updated Tue March 3, 2015

    Event The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised the market and left the policy cash rate unchanged at 2.25% at its monetary policy meeting on 3 March. The decision was in line with our forecast of no change. The market had priced in a 61% proba...

  • 02-Mar – Question for the RBA is not if, but when - Updated Sun March 1, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea − CPI inflation likely picked up on holiday shopping • Singapore − Subdued recovery in PMI expected • Taiwan − Export orders likely gained on strong tech demand • Market focus • RBA likely to keep rates unchange...

  • Asia data previews – 27 Feb – 6 Mar 2015 - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    • We expect the RBA and BNM to keep policy rates on hold; RBA may be a close call • Indonesia, Thailand, South Korea and the Philippines to release inflation data, with differing expectations • We see still-weak export growth in South Korea and Ma...

  • Sell AUD-USD - Updated Thu February 12, 2015

    We recommend selling AUD-USD in the FX Trading Portfolio • Entry: 0.7660; target: 0.6800; stop-loss: 0.8000 • Rate differentials and commodity prices suggest lower levels versus the USD...

  • 10-Feb – BSP is in no rush to change policy stance - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect Q4 GDP to have slowed versus previous quarters • Singapore – Take profit on pay 2Y IRS vs 2Y SGS • Australia – We expect muted job creation for January • Market focus • We expect the BSP to keep its pol...

  • 05-Feb – Oil prices make US payroll call slippery - Updated Wed February 4, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA’s Statement on Monetary Policy likely to be bearish • Malaysia – Weaker MYR likely supported the trade balance • China – January trade data to benefit from holiday distortion • Market focus • We predict payr...

  • 04-Feb – More to come from the Tasman twins - Updated Tue February 3, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – A new base year for GDP • Philippines – Inflation likely eased further in January • UK – Bank of England will likely leave the Bank Rate unchanged • Market focus • RBA turns dovish from neutral, pointing to like...

  • Australia – RBA cuts policy rate by 25bps to 2.25% - Updated Tue February 3, 2015

    Event The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the policy cash rate by 25bps to 2.25% at its monetary policy meeting on 3 February. While the consensus forecast was for no change, money markets had priced in close to a 60% probability of a cut immed...

  • 02-Feb – India: RBI likely to cut rates - Updated Sun February 1, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia − RBA likely to revert to a dovish stance, without cutting rates • South Korea − CPI inflation likely picked up moderately in January • US – ISM likely moderated on global headwinds, oil price rout • Market focus ...

  • Australia – Dovish RBA expected, but no rate cuts - Updated Thu January 29, 2015

    The RBA is likely to revert to a dovish stance, explicitly acknowledging the possibility of further rate cuts • However, we maintain our view that the RBA will not cut the cash rate further • We expect further weakness in the AUD, with the central...

  • 27-Jan – BoT to keep rates on hold - Updated Mon January 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep policy rates unchanged • Australia – Q4-2014 inflation was likely lower at 1.8% y/y • US – Fed in ‘hibernation’; statement should repeat ‘patience’ • Market focus • We reiterate our call tha...

  • 14-Jan – Korea: All eyes on BoK policy direction - Updated Tue January 13, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect the BI rate to be unchanged in January • Japan – Machinery orders likely rebounded; PPI likely slowed further • Australia – Job creation was likely muted in December • Market focus • We expect the BoK ...

  • Asia data previews – 9 Jan 2015 to 16 Jan 2015 - Updated Fri January 9, 2015

    • China’s trade surplus likely eased slightly as imports contracted • BI and the BoK will likely keep rates on hold, but their policy biases will probably differ • Disinflation is spreading in Asia, but India may buck the trend ...

  • 08-Jan – ASEAN reforms as oil prices fall - Updated Wed January 7, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – External and retail trade likely contracted in November • Philippines – We expect good, but not great, export growth • Germany – Industrial production likely increased at a steady rate • Market focus • Indonesia...

  • Riding the crest of the USD wave - Updated Mon January 5, 2015

    The USD ended 2014 near its highs for the year against G10 and EM currencies USD rally is likely to continue on widening rate differentials Global yield curves to continue to flatten The EM versus DM debate extends across all asset classes...

  • 09-Dec – ECB TLTRO tantrum could trigger QE - Updated Mon December 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Job creation was likely weak in November • China – Continued drop in producer prices raises concerns • Korea – Hold onto the long 10Y KTB trade; we revise up the stop-loss • Market focus • The 11 December TLTRO ...



Go to page
  

New User

Find out more about our research

Straight2Bank User

Please access our research via your Straight2Bank account

Trade idea

11-Mar – India: A data-heavy week

Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely rose again to a 13-year high • South Korea – We expect the BoK to remain on hold • Euro area – Industrial production likely registered modest growth • Market focus • February CPI likely edged higher; however, it is unlikely to...

In Media

Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.