Choose the category below to
refine article list
FX
Trade Ideas

Regions

Search Results

Results: 1 - 20 of 92 for 
Display 
 per page
Sort result by 
  • 09-Apr – China – More stimulus needed - Updated Tue April 8, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate was likely 6.0% in March • Malaysia – External demand likely supported IP in February • UK – BoE may stay on hold while MPC digests flurry of positive data • Market focus • Policy is shifting ...

  • Buy AUD-NZD - Updated Thu April 3, 2014

    • AUD-NZD looks set for a sharp corrective rebound as shifting terms of trade catch the market long NZD • Most NZD good news is priced in; AUD shorts are vulnerable to the improving Australian trade balance • We recommend buying AUD-NZD via 3M f...

  • 02-Apr – Deflating ECB rate-cut expectations - Updated Tue April 1, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – We forecast continued strength in retail and external trade • Ghana – The Bank of Ghana likely to keep prime rate on hold at 18% • Brazil – COPOM expected to hike once more • Market focus • The ECB will likely c...

  • 31-Mar – Reserve Bank of India likely to stay on hold - Updated Sun March 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – PMI may show further moderation • South Korea – CPI inflation expected to be benign, even with recovery • Australia – RBA likely to maintain a ‘period of stability’ in rates • Market focus • Sharp correction in in...

  • 05-Mar – Keeping the faith at the ECB - Updated Tue March 4, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – We look for ongoing strength in retail sales and international trade • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep rates steady • US – Watch ADP and ISM service PMI for hints on Friday’s NFP report • Market focus • We exp...

  • 04-Mar – Spill-over from the Ukraine crisis - Updated Mon March 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q4 GDP growth likely remained below trend at 0.7% q/q • Canada – Bank of Canada likely to hold the policy rate at 1% • Chile – Getting ahead of the curve • Market focus • Asia, Africa and the Middle East have li...

  • Aussie resilience in the face of the CNY slide - Updated Mon March 3, 2014

    AUD has remained surprisingly resilient despite the slide in CNY/CNH; we see three reasons for this • AUD is more sensitive than CNY to China data surprises, while domestic factors turned more supportive • Leveraged funds remain substantially shor...

  • 03-Mar – CNH rates to climb amid FX volatility - Updated Sun March 2, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to maintain neutral stance, keep rates unchanged • Europe – Central banks look to activity data • United States – ISM manufacturing PMI likely inched up in February • Market focus • USD-CNY intra-day ...

  • 17-Feb – Ironing out our AUD view - Updated Sun February 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA minutes likely to show comfort about the recovery • Japan – BoJ likely to maintain its pace of asset purchases • Turkey – CBRT expected to stay on hold • Market focus • We have cut our iron ore forecasts on ...

  • Iron ore – Slower China, faster Australia - Updated Fri February 14, 2014

    China’s iron ore inventories approach record high levels on strong imports and soft domestic demand • Iron ore consumers are trapped by a lack of confidence on macro outlook and tight cash flow • We lower our Q1 price forecast; we expect a downtre...

  • AUD – Comfortably high, for now - Updated Thu February 13, 2014

    We revise our short-term AUD-USD forecasts higher on better data, a change in RBA stance, positioning • We expect AUD-USD to remain range-bound in H2 with offsetting factors in play • Leveraged funds: We recommend buying 1M AUD-USD call versus se...

  • 12-Feb – US: Yellen sings from Bernanke’s songbook - Updated Tue February 11, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely rose to a 4.5-year high of 5.9% • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in February • South Korea – The policy rate is likely to be kept on hold at 2.5% • Market focus • There...

  • Australia – A dovish RBA, but no more rate cuts - Updated Thu January 23, 2014

    We expect no further rate cuts by the RBA, but expect it to retain its easing bias • The improving US economy and monetary policy divergence will likely push the AUD lower • We maintain our bearish view on the AUD against a stronger USD and a dovi...

  • 20-Jan – Turbulence in Turkey - Updated Sun January 19, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ likely to maintain stance at its first MPC meeting in 2014 • Australia – Inflation likely remained benign at +0.4% q/q in Q4-2013 • Germany – Upbeat ZEW investor confidence expected for H1-2014 • Market focus •...

  • 15-Jan – COPOM to maintain 50bps pace - Updated Tue January 14, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely remained at 5.8% in December • Japan – Machinery orders probably continued rising • United States – Two FOMC voters signal optimism on economy • Market focus • Surveys are divided 50/50...

  • SC IMM: Positioning risks show AUD ‘Buy’ signal - Updated Mon January 13, 2014

    Our SC IMM positioning heatmap suggests AUD may see a major short-term rally • Leveraged net shorts in the AUD vs. the USD, EUR, GBP and NZD reach sample extremes • Leveraged funds should buy 1M EUR-AUD, GBP-AUD put spreads...

  • AUD – Positioning for a temporary short squeeze - Updated Mon January 6, 2014

    AUD looks undervalued against several market indicators, may see a temporary short squeeze • We maintain our medium-term bearish view on the AUD given monetary policy divergence • Leveraged funds should put on calendar spreads; real-money funds sh...

  • 06-Jan – Bearish SEA, bullish NEA - Updated Sun January 5, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Latest export sales data likely to boost producers’ confidence • Australia – Trade balance expected to be in deficit for 23rd month • India – The SIGMA signal turns bullish for duration in January • Market focus • ...

  • Introducing SC IMM: A reassessment of the IMM data - Updated Tue December 10, 2013

    We introduce our SC IMM heatmap to leverage off the CFTC/IMM’s disaggregated FX position data • This unique tool provides strong signals of extreme positioning skew and potential FX trading indicators • Back-testing confirms that SC IMM and our me...

  • 10-Dec – BI to hike rates; status quo for rest of Asia - Updated Mon December 9, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely edged up to 5.8% in November • India – Opposition gains in state elections • Malaysia – Industrial production growth likely picked up in October • Market focus • We expect Bank Indonesia...



Go to page
  

New User

Find out more about our research

Straight2Bank User

Please access our research via your Straight2Bank account

Trade idea

09-Apr – China – More stimulus needed

Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate was likely 6.0% in March • Malaysia – External demand likely supported IP in February • UK – BoE may stay on hold while MPC digests flurry of positive data • Market focus • Policy is shifting towards pro-growth stance on weak data, with...

In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.