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  • Nigeria surprises with CRR harmonisation - Updated Tue May 19, 2015

    • Event - The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) surprised markets by announcing a harmonisation of the two cash reserves ratios (CRR) at its May MPC meeting. The public-sector CRR, previously set at 75%, is reduced to 31%. The private sector CRR is rais...

  • 18-May – MPC to focus on Nigeria FX decision - Updated Sun May 17, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Euro area – CPI likely to match flash at 0.0% y/y • UK – CPI inflation likely turned negative in April • Mexico – Banxico biding its time • Market focus • Nigeria MPC to announce monetary policy decision on Tuesday 19 May ...

  • Nigeria – April SC-PCPT signals price acceleration - Updated Thu May 7, 2015

    • The headline Standard Chartered-Premise Consumer Price Tracker rises 0.8% m/m in April • This signals an acceleration from the 0.4% and 0.6% increases in February and March, respectively • Our conversations with Nigerian FMCG companies suggest t...

  • Nigeria – April BSI unchanged over election period - Updated Thu April 30, 2015

    Nigeria April BSI was unchanged in April at 61.0 • Current conditions remain soft but Nigerian businesses are more confident about the short-term outlook • The NGN exchange rate continues to impact Nigerian businesses...

  • Buy 6M USD-NGN NDF - Updated Mon April 20, 2015

    • The compression in the NDF curve looks overextended and is likely to reverse • We expect NDF outrights to shift up on FX reserves and currency devaluation factors • We recommend buying 6M USD-NGN NDFs; target: 226.5, stop-loss: 210.0, entry: 217...

  • Nigeria – Inflation quickened in run-up to elections - Updated Tue April 7, 2015

    The headline Standard Chartered-Premise Consumer Price Tracker for Nigeria rises 0.6% m/m in March • Price rises in several categories are offset by weak demand for discretionary meat and fish products • Impact of election spending and FX weakness...

  • Nigeria – March BSI rises to 61.0 from series-low - Updated Tue March 31, 2015

    Nigeria’s March BSI increases to 61.0 from a series-low of 57.9 in February • Output and orders rise to their highest levels since December 2014 • FX availability may yet emerge as a constraint on business sentiment...

  • Nigeria – SC-PCPT up; monetary policy seen on hold - Updated Mon March 9, 2015

    The Standard-Chartered Premise Consumer Price Tracker shows a 0.4% m/m increase in February Price pressures are more pronounced following an end to FX subsidies via the RDAS We expect pressure on the FX rate to be sustained ahead of planned electi...

  • Nigeria – February BSI hits a series low - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    February BSI falls to a series low of 57.9 from 58.8 in January • Near-term political uncertainty and softer oil prices continue to weigh on the indicator • Falls in production and supplier delivery times indicate a slowdown in activity...

  • Nigeria stops RDAS FX sales - Updated Wed February 18, 2015

    Event • According to a statement published by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the RDAS/ WDAS window under which foreign exchange was previously available at a subsidised rate will effectively be discontinued. Going forward, all demand for FX wi...



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18-May – MPC to focus on Nigeria FX decision

Top 3 data/events • Euro area – CPI likely to match flash at 0.0% y/y • UK – CPI inflation likely turned negative in April • Mexico – Banxico biding its time • Market focus • Nigeria MPC to announce monetary policy decision on Tuesday 19 May • FX market liberalisation, rather than...

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